LCID Penelope Swing's Analysis
2024-01-11 15:30:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 32 trades executed
+9.02%
2 Years Return
$10,456.81
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$9,591.76
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
14
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
6.2/25
Win Rate
4.9/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
19.0/100
× Confidence 0.76
= 14.4
30-Day Momentum
0
-2.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
82,996
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,591.76
Current Value
$10,456.81
Total P&L
$865.05
Max Drawdown
-13.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
27
Winners / Losers
16 /
11
Best Trade
+5.74%
Worst Trade
-5.24%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
2.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$514,069.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$865.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$865.05
Gross Return
+9.02%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.02%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $9,591.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2024 9:35am ET | $27.65 | 346 | $9,566.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2024 12:00pm ET | $26.20 | 346 | $9,065.20 | $9,090.07 |
$-501.70 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2024 10:00am ET | $29.10 | 312 | $9,079.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2024 11:45am ET | $28.80 | 312 | $8,984.66 | $8,995.53 |
$-94.54 (-1.0%) |
RESISTANCE
1.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2024 9:40am ET | $38.00 | 236 | $8,968.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2024 12:30pm ET | $37.55 | 236 | $8,862.04 | $8,889.57 |
$-105.96 (-1.2%) |
RESISTANCE
2.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2024 10:20am ET | $37.23 | 238 | $8,860.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2024 12:25pm ET | $36.89 | 238 | $8,779.34 | $8,807.93 |
$-81.63 (-0.9%) |
RESISTANCE
2.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2024 11:05am ET | $31.00 | 284 | $8,804.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2024 12:15pm ET | $30.65 | 284 | $8,704.60 | $8,708.53 |
$-99.40 (-1.1%) |
RESISTANCE
1.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2024 9:50am ET | $39.30 | 221 | $8,685.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2024 11:50am ET | $39.05 | 221 | $8,630.05 | $8,652.62 |
$-55.91 (-0.6%) |
RESISTANCE
2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2024 11:05am ET | $38.70 | 223 | $8,630.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2024 12:25pm ET | $39.05 | 223 | $8,708.15 | $8,729.78 |
+$77.16 (+0.9%) |
RESISTANCE
1.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $27.55 | 316 | $8,705.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2024 11:45am ET | $27.75 | 316 | $8,769.00 | $8,792.98 |
+$63.20 (+0.7%) |
RESISTANCE
2.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2024 11:30am ET | $20.45 | 429 | $8,773.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 12:55pm ET | $20.75 | 429 | $8,901.75 | $8,921.68 |
+$128.70 (+1.5%) |
RESISTANCE
1.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2024 10:25am ET | $23.50 | 379 | $8,906.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2024 11:50am ET | $23.55 | 379 | $8,925.45 | $8,940.25 |
+$18.57 (+0.2%) |
RESISTANCE
1.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 3:25pm ET | $25.35 | 352 | $8,923.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 10:10am ET | $26.35 | 352 | $9,275.20 | $9,292.25 |
+$352.00 (+3.9%) |
RESISTANCE
18.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2024 11:30am ET | $32.10 | 289 | $9,276.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2024 1:40pm ET | $30.45 | 289 | $8,799.47 | $8,815.40 |
$-476.85 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2025 10:35am ET | $33.20 | 265 | $8,798.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2025 11:30am ET | $34.27 | 265 | $9,081.82 | $9,098.95 |
+$283.55 (+3.2%) |
RESISTANCE
54m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2025 11:45am ET | $31.80 | 286 | $9,094.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2025 1:20pm ET | $32.20 | 286 | $9,209.20 | $9,213.35 |
+$114.40 (+1.3%) |
RESISTANCE
1.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $28.15 | 327 | $9,205.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2025 11:10am ET | $29.55 | 327 | $9,662.85 | $9,671.15 |
+$457.80 (+5.0%) |
RESISTANCE
1.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2025 9:45am ET | $28.12 | 343 | $9,644.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2025 11:25am ET | $28.15 | 343 | $9,655.45 | $9,681.78 |
+$10.63 (+0.1%) |
RESISTANCE
1.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2025 10:20am ET | $23.85 | 405 | $9,660.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2025 12:20pm ET | $23.30 | 405 | $9,436.50 | $9,457.82 |
$-223.97 (-2.3%) |
RESISTANCE
2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 10:10am ET | $21.30 | 444 | $9,457.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 11:40am ET | $21.91 | 444 | $9,729.82 | $9,730.43 |
+$272.62 (+2.9%) |
RESISTANCE
1.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $28.75 | 338 | $9,717.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 11:05am ET | $30.40 | 338 | $10,275.20 | $10,288.13 |
+$557.70 (+5.7%) |
RESISTANCE
1.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 11:05am ET | $28.21 | 364 | $10,268.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2025 1:05pm ET | $28.20 | 364 | $10,264.80 | $10,284.13 |
$-4.00 (-0.0%) |
RESISTANCE
2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $21.90 | 469 | $10,271.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 11:05am ET | $22.15 | 469 | $10,388.35 | $10,401.38 |
+$117.25 (+1.1%) |
RESISTANCE
1.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $15.28 | 680 | $10,391.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 12:05pm ET | $15.55 | 680 | $10,571.28 | $10,581.17 |
+$179.79 (+1.7%) |
RESISTANCE
2.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 10:30am ET | $15.52 | 681 | $10,569.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 12:20pm ET | $15.68 | 681 | $10,678.08 | $10,690.13 |
+$108.96 (+1.0%) |
RESISTANCE
1.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $9.74 | 1,096 | $10,680.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:50am ET | $9.76 | 1,096 | $10,691.48 | $10,701.09 |
+$10.96 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $9.17 | 1,166 | $10,692.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $8.98 | 1,166 | $10,470.68 | $10,479.55 |
$-221.54 (-2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:50am ET | $8.22 | 1,274 | $10,472.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $8.23 | 1,274 | $10,491.39 | $10,498.66 |
+$19.11 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $7.53 | 1,395 | $10,497.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:00am ET | $7.49 | 1,395 | $10,455.52 | $10,456.81 |
$-41.85 (-0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,456.81
Net Profit/Loss:
+$456.81
Total Return:
+4.57%