Compendium › Penelope Swing › SNOW
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SNOW
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 5 trades executed

+4.01%
2 Years Return
$10,401.13
Current Value
20%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:55:45

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 12%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
66.1/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
6.0/15
Consistency
1.4/10
Raw Quality 119.6/100
× Confidence 0.12 = 13.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (12%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
60,023
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,401.13
Total P&L
$401.13
Max Drawdown
-3.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+10.12%
Worst Trade
-2.64%
Avg Trade Return
+0.89%
Avg Hold Time
1.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$100,412.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$401.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$401.13
Gross Return
+4.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2024 9:30am ET $120.80 82 $9,905.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2024 11:25am ET $117.61 82 $9,644.02 $9,738.38 $-261.62
(-2.6%) 		RESISTANCE
1.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 10:05am ET $141.72 68 $9,636.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 11:40am ET $140.85 68 $9,577.80 $9,679.22 $-59.16
(-0.6%) 		RESISTANCE
1.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:35am ET $121.76 79 $9,619.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $134.09 79 $10,592.72 $10,652.89 +$973.68
(+10.1%) 		RESISTANCE
36m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET $240.19 44 $10,568.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 11:45am ET $235.49 44 $10,361.34 $10,445.87 $-207.02
(-2.0%) 		RESISTANCE
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $201.48 51 $10,275.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:15am ET $200.61 51 $10,230.86 $10,401.13 $-44.75
(-0.4%) 		RESISTANCE
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,401.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$401.13
Total Return: +4.01%
Back to Penelope Swing