Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-16 09:09:42

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.48%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.40%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 16, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 69%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.9/10
Raw Quality 2.9/100
× Confidence 0.69 = 2.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (69%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
85,245
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-17 → 2026-06-15
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$9,671.91
Total P&L
$-328.09
Max Drawdown
-11.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+11.09%
Worst Trade
-5.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.25%
Avg Hold Time
3.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$201,406.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-328.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-328.09
Gross Return
-3.28%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 10:05am ET $28.94 345 $9,982.58
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 11:30am ET $29.16 345 $10,058.48 $10,075.90 +$75.90
(+0.8%)
RESISTANCE
1.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 3:35pm ET $41.35 243 $10,046.84
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 10:45am ET $41.49 243 $10,080.86 $10,109.92 +$34.02
(+0.3%)
RESISTANCE
19.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 10:15am ET $39.43 256 $10,092.80
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 12:35pm ET $39.38 256 $10,081.28 $10,098.40 $-11.52
(-0.1%)
RESISTANCE
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 10:20am ET $31.15 324 $10,092.60
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 11:35am ET $30.93 324 $10,019.70 $10,025.50 $-72.90
(-0.7%)
RESISTANCE
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:40am ET $26.55 377 $10,007.47
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 11:35am ET $26.12 377 $9,849.09 $9,867.12 $-158.38
(-1.6%)
RESISTANCE
1.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $18.31 539 $9,866.40
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 1:10pm ET $20.34 539 $10,960.57 $10,961.29 +$1,094.17
(+11.1%)
RESISTANCE
3.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 1:10pm ET $20.73 528 $10,945.44
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 3:05pm ET $19.64 528 $10,371.24 $10,387.09 $-574.20
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET $24.47 424 $10,373.16
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 11:20am ET $23.19 424 $9,832.52 $9,846.45 $-540.64
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:05pm ET $48.85 201 $9,818.85
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 2:55pm ET $48.04 201 $9,656.04 $9,683.64 $-162.81
(-1.7%)
RESISTANCE
2.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:10pm ET $69.86 138 $9,641.37
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:15pm ET $69.78 138 $9,629.64 $9,671.91 $-11.73
(-0.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,671.91
Net Profit/Loss: $-328.09
Total Return: -3.28%
Back to Penelope Swing