Compendium › Penelope Swing › UNIUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
UNIUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Penelope Swing's Analysis

2024-01-03 12:05:00+00 to 2026-05-06 12:55:00+00 • 26 trades executed

+11.10%
2 Years Return
$11,777.96
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$10,489.69
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:57:45

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.6 oversold
20d Trend
-49.9%
5d Trend
-45.7%
EMA20 Dist
-41.0%
ATR%
16.2%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 54%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.9/35
Total Return
10.6/25
Win Rate
6.6/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 30.3/100
× Confidence 0.54 = 16.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (54%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
210,390
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
731 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,489.69
Current Value
$11,777.96
Total P&L
$1,163.92
Max Drawdown
-12.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
15
Winners / Losers
8 / 7
Best Trade
+8.45%
Worst Trade
-6.01%
Avg Trade Return
+1.31%
Avg Hold Time
1.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$361,895.33
Estimated Fees
$904.74
Gross P&L
$1,163.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$259.18
Gross Return
+11.10%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.47%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNIUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 731 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Penelope Swing had $10,489.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2024 2:00pm ET $9.40 1,116 $10,489.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2024 3:40pm ET $9.83 1,116 $10,965.08 $10,911.44 +$421.75
(+4.5%) 		RESISTANCE
1.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 4, 2024 11:05pm ET $6.88 1,585 $10,911.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 5, 2024 12:35am ET $7.14 1,585 $11,321.96 $11,266.38 +$354.94
(+3.8%) 		RESISTANCE
1.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 2:20am ET $4.93 2,286 $11,266.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 3:40am ET $5.24 2,286 $11,979.67 $11,921.56 +$655.18
(+6.3%) 		RESISTANCE
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 11:05pm ET $9.82 1,214 $11,921.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2024 12:25am ET $9.87 1,214 $11,978.61 $11,918.86 $-2.70
(+0.5%) 		RESISTANCE
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2024 9:30am ET $13.15 906 $11,918.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2024 10:05am ET $14.22 906 $12,890.49 $12,828.47 +$909.61
(+8.2%) 		RESISTANCE
36m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2024 1:20pm ET $13.34 961 $12,828.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 3:55pm ET $13.13 961 $12,621.77 $12,558.15 $-270.32
(-1.6%) 		RESISTANCE
2.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2025 8:45pm ET $8.28 1,516 $12,558.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2025 8:50pm ET $7.79 1,516 $11,803.11 $11,742.21 $-815.94
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 2:50am ET $4.63 2,538 $11,742.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 4:15am ET $4.79 2,538 $12,163.57 $12,103.81 +$361.59
(+3.6%) 		RESISTANCE
1.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 8:50pm ET $6.98 1,734 $12,103.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 10:30pm ET $6.94 1,734 $12,034.46 $11,974.12 $-129.69
(-0.6%) 		RESISTANCE
1.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 9:00pm ET $5.84 2,050 $11,974.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 10:30pm ET $5.96 2,050 $12,215.98 $12,155.50 +$181.38
(+2.0%) 		RESISTANCE
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 11:50am ET $5.26 2,309 $12,155.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 1:30pm ET $5.37 2,309 $12,393.35 $12,331.97 +$176.47
(+2.0%) 		RESISTANCE
1.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $3.33 3,700 $12,331.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $3.30 3,700 $12,227.41 $12,166.02 $-165.96
(-0.8%) 		RESISTANCE
3.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $2.95 4,128 $12,166.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 8:05pm ET $3.20 4,128 $13,193.95 $13,130.55 +$964.54
(+8.4%) 		RESISTANCE
54m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:50am ET $3.80 3,453 $13,130.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $3.60 3,453 $12,414.61 $12,414.61 $-779.80
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:05pm ET $3.53 3,518 $12,414.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 6:50pm ET $3.35 3,518 $11,777.96 $11,777.96 $-697.13
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,777.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,777.96
Total Return: +17.78%
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