Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:23:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 22.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 22.0

30-Day Momentum

11
-10.1%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,739
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,964.06
Current Value
$10,870.75
Period P&L
$-1,093.44
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.31

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
6 / 6
Best Trade
+1.91%
Worst Trade
-8.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.77%
Avg Hold Time
4.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$262,860.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,093.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,093.44
Gross Return
-9.14%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,964.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $150.51 79 $11,890.68
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:50am ET $148.29 79 $11,714.91 $11,788.41 $-175.78
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $148.81 79 $11,755.99
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $148.60 79 $11,739.40 $11,771.82 $-16.59
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $145.38 80 $11,630.40
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $133.46 80 $10,676.80 $10,818.22 $-953.60
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $134.49 80 $10,759.20
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $134.18 80 $10,734.00 $10,793.02 $-25.20
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $144.93 74 $10,725.19
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $145.99 74 $10,803.25 $10,871.08 +$78.06
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:15pm ET $150.12 72 $10,808.64
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $150.80 72 $10,857.60 $10,920.04 +$48.96
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $154.05 70 $10,783.50
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:35pm ET $154.57 70 $10,819.90 $10,956.44 +$36.40
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $140.62 77 $10,827.74
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:00am ET $137.54 77 $10,590.58 $10,719.28 $-237.16
(-2.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET $142.51 75 $10,688.25
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET $145.24 75 $10,892.63 $10,923.66 +$204.38
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $139.16 78 $10,854.48
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET $136.43 78 $10,641.54 $10,710.72 $-212.94
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $145.50 73 $10,621.50
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $146.11 73 $10,666.03 $10,755.25 +$44.53
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held
12 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $138.07 77 $10,631.39
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:20am ET $139.57 77 $10,746.89 $10,870.75 +$115.50
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,870.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$870.75
Total Return: +8.71%
Back to Professor Mean