SNOW Professor Mean's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 44 trades in period
-16.82%
Year to Date Return
$10,870.75
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$13,069.54
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
22
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
22.4/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 22.0
30-Day Momentum
11
-10.1%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,625
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$13,069.54
Current Value
$10,870.75
Period P&L
$-2,198.92
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
24 /
20
Best Trade
+2.23%
Worst Trade
-8.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.40%
Avg Hold Time
6.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,035,671.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,198.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,198.92
Gross Return
-16.82%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.82%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,069.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 1:10pm ET | $214.46 | 60 | $12,867.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 1:55pm ET | $214.89 | 60 | $12,893.40 | $13,095.47 |
+$25.80 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $224.42 | 58 | $13,016.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $226.92 | 58 | $13,161.36 | $13,240.47 |
+$145.00 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:35pm ET | $233.51 | 56 | $13,076.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:00am ET | $230.19 | 56 | $12,890.84 | $13,054.75 |
$-185.72 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $220.57 | 59 | $13,013.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $221.12 | 59 | $13,046.08 | $13,087.20 |
+$32.45 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 1:35pm ET | $219.94 | 59 | $12,976.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:15pm ET | $220.55 | 59 | $13,012.16 | $13,123.19 |
+$35.99 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $205.48 | 63 | $12,944.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $204.35 | 63 | $12,874.05 | $13,052.31 |
$-70.88 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $213.92 | 61 | $13,049.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:00pm ET | $212.70 | 61 | $12,974.70 | $12,977.89 |
$-74.41 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $207.19 | 62 | $12,845.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:55pm ET | $207.42 | 62 | $12,860.04 | $12,992.15 |
+$14.25 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:20pm ET | $212.10 | 61 | $12,938.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $212.83 | 61 | $12,982.63 | $13,036.68 |
+$44.53 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 3:30pm ET | $216.60 | 60 | $12,995.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.48 | 60 | $12,088.94 | $12,129.92 |
$-906.76 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:15pm ET | $197.69 | 61 | $12,059.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $193.12 | 61 | $11,780.02 | $11,850.85 |
$-279.07 (-2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:00pm ET | $170.89 | 69 | $11,791.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 2:15pm ET | $170.52 | 69 | $11,766.22 | $11,825.66 |
$-25.19 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $162.37 | 72 | $11,690.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $159.46 | 72 | $11,481.12 | $11,616.14 |
$-209.52 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:50pm ET | $168.26 | 69 | $11,609.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:45pm ET | $168.85 | 69 | $11,650.65 | $11,656.85 |
+$40.71 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:55pm ET | $182.73 | 63 | $11,511.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $183.55 | 63 | $11,563.81 | $11,708.98 |
+$52.13 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 3:25pm ET | $175.90 | 66 | $11,609.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:40pm ET | $177.78 | 66 | $11,733.48 | $11,832.73 |
+$123.75 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.68 | 66 | $11,727.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $175.01 | 66 | $11,550.99 | $11,656.51 |
$-176.22 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 1:15pm ET | $174.76 | 66 | $11,534.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 1:55pm ET | $176.68 | 66 | $11,660.88 | $11,782.90 |
+$126.39 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.03 | 76 | $11,782.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $158.48 | 76 | $12,044.48 | $12,045.10 |
+$262.20 (+2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $168.02 | 71 | $11,929.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $166.66 | 71 | $11,832.86 | $11,948.54 |
$-96.56 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.75 | 72 | $11,862.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:00am ET | $161.31 | 72 | $11,614.32 | $11,700.86 |
$-247.68 (-2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $179.51 | 65 | $11,667.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.62 | 65 | $11,480.30 | $11,513.33 |
$-187.53 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $178.00 | 64 | $11,392.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $177.21 | 64 | $11,341.44 | $11,462.77 |
$-50.56 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $176.88 | 64 | $11,320.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 12:20pm ET | $177.59 | 64 | $11,365.76 | $11,507.89 |
+$45.12 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:30pm ET | $174.61 | 65 | $11,349.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 12:45pm ET | $175.87 | 65 | $11,431.55 | $11,589.79 |
+$81.90 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.99 | 66 | $11,483.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $177.40 | 66 | $11,708.73 | $11,815.18 |
+$225.39 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $171.28 | 68 | $11,647.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:50am ET | $173.63 | 68 | $11,806.84 | $11,974.98 |
+$159.80 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 12:40pm ET | $169.51 | 70 | $11,865.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:00pm ET | $170.18 | 70 | $11,912.60 | $12,021.88 |
+$46.90 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:25pm ET | $174.74 | 68 | $11,882.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $172.78 | 68 | $11,749.04 | $11,888.60 |
$-133.28 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:15pm ET | $162.69 | 73 | $11,876.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:35pm ET | $162.68 | 73 | $11,875.64 | $11,887.87 |
$-0.73 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.86 | 81 | $11,814.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $146.70 | 81 | $11,882.70 | $11,955.91 |
+$68.04 (+0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $153.59 | 77 | $11,826.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:30pm ET | $153.70 | 77 | $11,834.90 | $11,964.19 |
+$8.28 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $150.51 | 79 | $11,890.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $148.29 | 79 | $11,714.91 | $11,788.41 |
$-175.78 (-1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:20pm ET | $148.81 | 79 | $11,755.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $148.60 | 79 | $11,739.40 | $11,771.82 |
$-16.59 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $145.38 | 80 | $11,630.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $133.46 | 80 | $10,676.80 | $10,818.22 |
$-953.60 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET | $134.49 | 80 | $10,759.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $134.18 | 80 | $10,734.00 | $10,793.02 |
$-25.20 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $144.93 | 74 | $10,725.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.99 | 74 | $10,803.25 | $10,871.08 |
+$78.06 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:15pm ET | $150.12 | 72 | $10,808.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $150.80 | 72 | $10,857.60 | $10,920.04 |
+$48.96 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:00pm ET | $154.05 | 70 | $10,783.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 1:35pm ET | $154.57 | 70 | $10,819.90 | $10,956.44 |
+$36.40 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $140.62 | 77 | $10,827.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $137.54 | 77 | $10,590.58 | $10,719.28 |
$-237.16 (-2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $142.51 | 75 | $10,688.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET | $145.24 | 75 | $10,892.63 | $10,923.66 |
+$204.38 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.16 | 78 | $10,854.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $136.43 | 78 | $10,641.54 | $10,710.72 |
$-212.94 (-2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 2:00pm ET | $145.50 | 73 | $10,621.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.11 | 73 | $10,666.03 | $10,755.25 |
+$44.53 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.07 | 77 | $10,631.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $139.57 | 77 | $10,746.89 | $10,870.75 |
+$115.50 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,870.75
Net Profit/Loss:
+$870.75
Total Return:
+8.71%