Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,190
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
36 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,783.56
Current Value
$9,164.62
Period P&L
$381.00
Max Drawdown
-25.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
11 / 6
Best Trade
+2.50%
Worst Trade
-1.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
3.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$299,752.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$381.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$381.00
Gross Return
+4.34%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 36 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,783.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:20pm ET $438.55 20 $8,770.90
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $438.29 20 $8,765.80 $8,778.51 $-5.10
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $452.91 19 $8,605.29
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $451.69 19 $8,582.11 $8,755.33 $-23.18
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:50pm ET $435.51 20 $8,710.20
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:30pm ET $436.49 20 $8,729.80 $8,774.94 +$19.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET $433.23 20 $8,664.60
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:50am ET $436.91 20 $8,738.20 $8,848.54 +$73.60
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $449.38 19 $8,538.22
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET $450.42 19 $8,557.98 $8,868.30 +$19.76
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:20pm ET $435.32 20 $8,706.30
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $436.58 20 $8,731.57 $8,893.56 +$25.27
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $438.12 20 $8,762.49
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $439.39 20 $8,787.80 $8,918.88 +$25.31
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $423.37 21 $8,890.77
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $422.41 21 $8,870.61 $8,898.72 $-20.16
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $445.30 19 $8,460.70
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:50am ET $448.75 19 $8,526.25 $8,964.27 +$65.55
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 12:55pm ET $438.16 20 $8,763.27
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 2:15pm ET $438.45 20 $8,769.00 $8,970.00 +$5.73
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $432.89 20 $8,657.70
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $435.03 20 $8,700.60 $9,012.90 +$42.90
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:25pm ET $415.51 21 $8,725.71
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $425.89 21 $8,943.74 $9,230.93 +$218.03
(+2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $415.36 22 $9,137.92
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:50am ET $421.79 22 $9,279.38 $9,372.39 +$141.46
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:15pm ET $421.51 22 $9,273.22
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:40pm ET $417.04 22 $9,174.77 $9,273.94 $-98.45
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $398.43 23 $9,163.89
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:15am ET $393.34 23 $9,046.82 $9,156.87 $-117.07
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $411.34 22 $9,049.48
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $412.68 22 $9,079.07 $9,186.46 +$29.59
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $419.29 21 $8,805.09
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $418.25 21 $8,783.25 $9,164.62 $-21.84
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,164.62
Net Profit/Loss: $-835.38
Total Return: -8.35%
Back to Professor Mean