Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-23 15:26:58

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.7/35
Total Return
9.4/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
3.5/15
Consistency
8.0/10
Raw Quality 39.0/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 29.7

30-Day Momentum

15
+1.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.7 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,986
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,841.90
Current Value
$11,239.48
Period P&L
$1,397.58
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.60

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
10 / 4
Best Trade
+4.08%
Worst Trade
-2.00%
Avg Trade Return
+0.97%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$295,457.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,397.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,397.58
Gross Return
+14.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Max Marathon had $9,841.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $248.56 39 $9,693.84
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $245.09 39 $9,558.51 $9,706.57 $-135.33
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $242.49 40 $9,699.80
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:00pm ET $247.42 40 $9,896.80 $9,903.57 +$197.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $245.32 40 $9,812.80
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $250.96 40 $10,038.20 $10,128.97 +$225.40
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $251.68 40 $10,067.20
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $261.95 40 $10,478.00 $10,539.77 +$410.80
(+4.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:45am ET $261.37 40 $10,454.80
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $267.31 40 $10,692.40 $10,777.37 +$237.60
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $277.11 38 $10,530.37
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $277.20 38 $10,533.60 $10,780.60 +$3.23
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:00am ET $274.90 39 $10,721.29
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $278.96 39 $10,879.44 $10,938.74 +$158.14
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
8 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $281.89 38 $10,711.82
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $285.04 38 $10,831.52 $11,058.44 +$119.70
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
9 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $281.36 39 $10,972.85
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 12:00pm ET $275.74 39 $10,753.86 $10,839.45 $-218.99
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 2:30pm ET $273.64 39 $10,671.96
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 11:50am ET $279.23 39 $10,889.97 $11,057.46 +$218.01
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
11 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $290.27 38 $11,030.45
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $290.00 38 $11,020.00 $11,047.01 $-10.45
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $287.49 38 $10,924.81
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $284.54 38 $10,812.33 $10,934.53 $-112.48
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $285.15 38 $10,835.70
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $290.89 38 $11,053.70 $11,152.53 +$218.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $294.65 37 $10,902.05
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $297.00 37 $10,989.00 $11,239.48 +$86.95
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,239.48
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,239.48
Total Return: +12.39%
Back to Max Marathon