Compendium › Nora Newsflash › MARA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MARA
Alpaca Tradeable

Nora Newsflash's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 5 trades in period

-5.42%
Last Year Return
$10,419.22
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$11,016.24
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 07:48:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Mar 12, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 46%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.9/35
Total Return
5.9/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 21.6/100
× Confidence 0.46 = 9.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (46%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,343
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,016.24
Current Value
$10,419.22
Period P&L
$-597.02
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.41

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+2.17%
Worst Trade
-3.42%
Avg Trade Return
-1.08%
Avg Hold Time
1.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$108,116.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-597.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$-597.02
Gross Return
-5.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nora Newsflash had $11,016.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 9:30am ET $14.27 772 $11,012.58 — — —
🔴 SELL May 30, 2025 10:35am ET $14.56 772 $11,240.32 $11,243.98 +$227.74
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET $15.60 720 $11,228.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 10:20am ET $15.06 720 $10,843.92 $10,859.50 $-384.48
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 9:30am ET $14.69 739 $10,856.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 1:20pm ET $14.24 739 $10,519.67 $10,522.81 $-336.69
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 1:20pm ET $13.78 763 $10,515.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 2:15pm ET $14.08 763 $10,743.73 $10,751.48 +$228.67
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
54m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $11.97 898 $10,744.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:50am ET $11.60 898 $10,412.31 $10,419.22 $-332.26
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,419.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$419.22
Total Return: +4.19%
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