Compendium › Nora Newsflash › MARA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MARA
Alpaca Tradeable

Nora Newsflash's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 14 trades executed

+4.19%
2 Years Return
$10,419.22
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:34:14

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Mar 12, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 46%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.9/35
Total Return
5.9/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 21.6/100
× Confidence 0.46 = 9.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (46%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
87,435
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,419.22
Total P&L
$419.22
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
8 / 6
Best Trade
+5.02%
Worst Trade
-4.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
9.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$301,768.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$419.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$419.22
Gross Return
+4.19%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nora Newsflash had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 5, 2024 9:30am ET $19.85 503 $9,984.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2024 9:30am ET $20.82 503 $10,472.51 $10,487.96 +$487.96
(+4.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2024 9:30am ET $21.78 481 $10,474.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2024 9:35am ET $22.29 481 $10,719.09 $10,732.93 +$244.97
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2024 9:35am ET $20.11 533 $10,718.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2024 10:20am ET $20.65 533 $11,006.40 $11,020.70 +$287.77
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
48m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2024 9:30am ET $20.42 539 $11,006.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2024 3:50pm ET $19.70 539 $10,618.30 $10,632.57 $-388.13
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2024 3:50pm ET $18.13 586 $10,624.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $17.48 586 $10,243.28 $10,251.31 $-381.25
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $14.11 726 $10,243.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET $14.82 726 $10,757.65 $10,765.11 +$513.79
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2024 9:30am ET $15.54 692 $10,753.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2024 9:45am ET $15.93 692 $11,024.11 $11,035.54 +$270.43
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2024 9:45am ET $15.14 728 $11,021.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 11, 2024 9:30am ET $15.77 728 $11,480.56 $11,494.18 +$458.64
(+4.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2025 9:30am ET $13.35 861 $11,490.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2025 10:00am ET $12.79 861 $11,012.10 $11,016.24 $-477.94
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
10 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 9:30am ET $14.27 772 $11,012.58 — — —
🔴 SELL May 30, 2025 10:35am ET $14.56 772 $11,240.32 $11,243.98 +$227.74
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET $15.60 720 $11,228.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 10:20am ET $15.06 720 $10,843.92 $10,859.50 $-384.48
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 9:30am ET $14.69 739 $10,856.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 1:20pm ET $14.24 739 $10,519.67 $10,522.81 $-336.69
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 1:20pm ET $13.78 763 $10,515.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 2:15pm ET $14.08 763 $10,743.73 $10,751.48 +$228.67
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
54m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $11.97 898 $10,744.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:50am ET $11.60 898 $10,412.31 $10,419.22 $-332.26
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,419.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$419.22
Total Return: +4.19%
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