Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 06:33:17

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Apr 26, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 48%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.0/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
11.5/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 39.2/100
× Confidence 0.48 = 18.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (48%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
39,626
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,354.15
Current Value
$11,146.77
Period P&L
$792.62
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.54

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
5 / 1
Best Trade
+4.73%
Worst Trade
-3.02%
Avg Trade Return
+1.28%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$128,322.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$792.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$792.62
Gross Return
+7.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rex Freefall had $10,354.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $199.46 51 $10,172.47
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $208.90 51 $10,653.90 $10,835.58 +$481.43
(+4.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:25pm ET $202.10 53 $10,711.30
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 9:40am ET $196.00 53 $10,388.00 $10,512.28 $-323.30
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 11:30am ET $203.28 51 $10,367.44
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 10:35am ET $207.72 51 $10,593.47 $10,738.31 +$226.03
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 10:45am ET $227.36 47 $10,686.12
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 10:05am ET $232.69 47 $10,936.43 $10,988.62 +$250.31
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 3:50pm ET $259.98 42 $10,919.16
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $260.33 42 $10,933.65 $11,003.11 +$14.49
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 2:15pm ET $247.92 44 $10,908.48
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $251.19 44 $11,052.14 $11,146.77 +$143.66
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,146.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,146.77
Total Return: +11.47%
Back to Rex Freefall