Compendium › Rex Freefall › AAPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AAPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Rex Freefall's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 17 trades executed

+10.81%
2 Years Return
$11,146.77
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$10,059.32
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 06:33:07

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Apr 26, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 48%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.0/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
11.5/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 39.2/100
× Confidence 0.48 = 18.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (48%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
85,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,059.32
Current Value
$11,146.77
Total P&L
$1,087.45
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
10 / 4
Best Trade
+4.73%
Worst Trade
-3.35%
Avg Trade Return
+0.77%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$294,235.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,087.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,087.45
Gross Return
+10.81%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rex Freefall had $10,059.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2024 10:15am ET $217.75 46 $10,016.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2024 9:30am ET $223.38 46 $10,275.48 $10,318.31 +$258.98
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 1, 2024 10:45am ET $222.02 46 $10,212.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 9:45am ET $223.43 46 $10,277.78 $10,383.17 +$64.86
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2025 9:35am ET $245.22 42 $10,299.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2025 9:35am ET $244.47 42 $10,267.53 $10,351.44 $-31.72
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 10:10am ET $226.64 45 $10,198.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2025 10:40am ET $231.34 45 $10,410.30 $10,562.94 +$211.50
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2025 11:40am ET $229.46 46 $10,555.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2025 12:25pm ET $234.54 46 $10,788.84 $10,796.62 +$233.68
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
48m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2025 9:30am ET $220.44 48 $10,580.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 10:40am ET $213.75 48 $10,260.00 $10,475.67 $-320.95
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $176.57 59 $10,417.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:55am ET $180.49 59 $10,648.91 $10,706.95 +$231.28
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
24m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:55am ET $188.00 56 $10,528.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 12:30pm ET $181.70 56 $10,175.20 $10,354.15 $-352.80
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
9 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $199.46 51 $10,172.47 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $208.90 51 $10,653.90 $10,835.58 +$481.43
(+4.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
10 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:25pm ET $202.10 53 $10,711.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 9:40am ET $196.00 53 $10,388.00 $10,512.28 $-323.30
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 11:30am ET $203.28 51 $10,367.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 10:35am ET $207.72 51 $10,593.47 $10,738.31 +$226.03
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 10:45am ET $227.36 47 $10,686.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 10:05am ET $232.69 47 $10,936.43 $10,988.62 +$250.31
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 3:50pm ET $259.98 42 $10,919.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $260.33 42 $10,933.65 $11,003.11 +$14.49
(+0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 2:15pm ET $247.92 44 $10,908.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $251.19 44 $11,052.14 $11,146.77 +$143.66
(+1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,146.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,146.77
Total Return: +11.47%
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