Compendium › Rex Freefall › DIA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DIA
Alpaca Tradeable

Rex Freefall's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 5 trades executed

+7.10%
2 Years Return
$10,709.62
Current Value
80%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:26:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.5%
ATR%
1.0%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
93.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
62,492
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
529 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,709.62
Total P&L
$709.62
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.56

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
4 / 1
Best Trade
+4.02%
Worst Trade
-3.03%
Avg Trade Return
+1.47%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$100,920.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$709.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$709.62
Gross Return
+7.10%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 529 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rex Freefall had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $385.65 25 $9,641.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2024 2:20pm ET $393.47 25 $9,836.75 $10,195.50 +$195.50
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 3:35pm ET $426.96 23 $9,820.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2024 3:35pm ET $428.50 23 $9,855.50 $10,230.85 +$35.35
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $370.62 27 $10,006.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $385.51 27 $10,408.77 $10,632.88 +$402.03
(+4.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
42m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 10:10am ET $393.64 27 $10,628.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $381.73 27 $10,306.71 $10,311.31 $-321.57
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 10:00am ET $384.96 26 $10,008.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $400.28 26 $10,407.27 $10,709.62 +$398.31
(+4.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,709.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$709.62
Total Return: +7.10%
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