Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:26:33

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
80.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
54.5/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
58,920
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,239.40
Total P&L
$239.41
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
6 / 3
Best Trade
+5.11%
Worst Trade
-3.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$187,061.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$239.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$239.41
Gross Return
+2.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rex Freefall had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2024 11:10am ET $97.02 103 $9,993.06
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2024 10:35am ET $99.04 103 $10,201.12 $10,208.06 +$208.06
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2024 9:30am ET $90.53 112 $10,138.80
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2024 9:30am ET $90.60 112 $10,147.20 $10,216.46 +$8.40
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $87.18 117 $10,200.06
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 11:25am ET $89.01 117 $10,414.17 $10,430.57 +$214.11
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $81.28 128 $10,403.84
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $85.44 128 $10,935.68 $10,962.41 +$531.84
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
42m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 10:10am ET $86.68 126 $10,921.68
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 12:35pm ET $83.95 126 $10,577.07 $10,617.80 $-344.61
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 9:30am ET $85.79 123 $10,552.17
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 10:15am ET $83.11 123 $10,222.94 $10,288.57 $-329.23
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $116.40 88 $10,242.76
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET $118.74 88 $10,448.68 $10,494.49 +$205.92
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 11:05am ET $113.34 92 $10,427.28
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 11:05am ET $114.01 92 $10,488.50 $10,555.70 +$61.22
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $106.38 99 $10,531.62
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:45pm ET $103.19 99 $10,215.32 $10,239.40 $-316.30
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,239.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$239.40
Total Return: +2.39%
Back to Rex Freefall