Compendium › Rex Freefall › JNJ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
JNJ
Alpaca Tradeable

Rex Freefall's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 5 trades executed

+0.74%
2 Years Return
$10,275.11
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$10,200.10
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:26:32

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
93.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
88.2/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
47,548
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
523 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,200.10
Current Value
$10,275.11
Total P&L
$75.01
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+2.05%
Worst Trade
-4.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$80,232.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$75.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$75.01
Gross Return
+0.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 523 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rex Freefall had $10,200.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 28, 2024 9:30am ET $145.85 69 $10,063.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2024 9:30am ET $147.53 69 $10,179.57 $10,316.02 +$115.92
(+1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 10:55am ET $151.83 67 $10,172.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $145.21 67 $9,729.07 $9,872.82 $-443.20
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
3 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 11:05am ET $149.19 66 $9,846.54 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $152.25 66 $10,048.50 $10,074.78 +$201.96
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 12:00pm ET $149.20 67 $9,996.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 1:00pm ET $152.19 67 $10,196.73 $10,275.11 +$200.33
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,275.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$275.11
Total Return: +2.75%
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