Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 05:27:58

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 52%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.9/35
Total Return
9.4/25
Win Rate
11.0/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
8.3/10
Raw Quality 40.5/100
× Confidence 0.52 = 21.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (52%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,409.78
Current Value
$11,263.62
Period P&L
$853.83
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.72

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
5 / 1
Best Trade
+3.36%
Worst Trade
-3.08%
Avg Trade Return
+1.52%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$124,280.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$853.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$853.83
Gross Return
+8.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Spike Volkov had $10,409.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET $963.64 10 $9,636.44
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:10am ET $985.82 10 $9,858.20 $10,574.19 +$221.76
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET $966.18 10 $9,661.80
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET $987.40 10 $9,874.00 $10,786.39 +$212.20
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:45am ET $979.82 11 $10,778.02
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $949.69 11 $10,446.59 $10,454.96 $-331.43
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 11:50am ET $947.14 11 $10,418.49
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $978.99 11 $10,768.89 $10,805.36 +$350.40
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $932.00 11 $10,252.00
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:20am ET $953.41 11 $10,487.51 $11,040.87 +$235.51
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
50m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $994.37 11 $10,938.07
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 1:00pm ET $1,014.62 11 $11,160.82 $11,263.62 +$222.75
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,263.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,263.62
Total Return: +12.64%
Back to Spike Volkov