Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 05:27:04

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 51%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 11.4/100
× Confidence 0.51 = 5.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (51%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,900.13
Current Value
$9,137.43
Period P&L
$-1,762.70
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.71

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+2.12%
Worst Trade
-9.24%
Avg Trade Return
-2.84%
Avg Hold Time
20.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$115,597.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,762.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,762.70
Gross Return
-16.17%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Spike Volkov had $10,900.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $400.82 27 $10,822.14
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $381.95 27 $10,312.65 $10,390.64 $-509.49
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET $369.00 28 $10,332.00
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $357.85 28 $10,019.80 $10,078.44 $-312.20
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $360.75 27 $9,740.25
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $345.18 27 $9,319.99 $9,658.18 $-420.26
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:15am ET $324.42 29 $9,408.18
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $331.30 29 $9,607.84 $9,857.84 +$199.66
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $375.60 26 $9,765.60
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $340.91 26 $8,863.56 $8,955.80 $-902.04
(-9.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $410.10 21 $8,612.10
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $418.75 21 $8,793.73 $9,137.43 +$181.63
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,137.43
Net Profit/Loss: $-862.57
Total Return: -8.63%
Back to Spike Volkov