Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 05:26:53

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 51%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.5/10
Raw Quality 7.7/100
× Confidence 0.51 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (51%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,732.10
Current Value
$9,716.97
Period P&L
$-15.14
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+3.40%
Worst Trade
-6.35%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
16.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$118,724.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-15.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$-15.14
Gross Return
-0.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Spike Volkov had $9,732.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $14.19 685 $9,720.15
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:00am ET $14.55 685 $9,963.33 $9,975.29 +$243.18
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:50am ET $14.86 671 $9,974.41
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $15.19 671 $10,189.14 $10,190.01 +$214.72
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $13.06 780 $10,182.90
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $12.60 780 $9,824.10 $9,831.21 $-358.80
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:10am ET $11.90 825 $9,821.62
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $12.31 825 $10,155.75 $10,165.34 +$334.13
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $12.75 797 $10,161.75
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $11.94 797 $9,516.18 $9,519.77 $-645.57
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET $16.40 580 $9,509.10
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:15am ET $16.74 580 $9,706.30 $9,716.97 +$197.20
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,716.97
Net Profit/Loss: $-283.03
Total Return: -2.83%
Back to Spike Volkov