Compendium › Reversion › AAPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AAPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 3 trades in period

-0.90%
Last Month Return
$12,847.60
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$12,964.52
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:53:25

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

51
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.7/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
12.3/15
Profit Factor
11.6/15
Consistency
8.2/10
Raw Quality 65.1/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 50.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,547
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,964.52
Current Value
$12,847.60
Period P&L
$-116.92
Max Drawdown
-3.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.41

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+3.94%
Worst Trade
-0.82%
Avg Trade Return
+0.88%
Avg Hold Time
12.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$76,574.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-116.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$-116.92
Gross Return
-0.90%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $12,964.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:35am ET $297.68 42 $12,502.56 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $309.40 42 $12,994.80 $13,012.40 +$492.24
(+3.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $310.22 41 $12,719.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $308.77 41 $12,659.57 $12,952.95 $-59.45
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $300.05 43 $12,902.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $297.60 43 $12,796.80 $12,847.60 $-105.35
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,847.60
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,847.60
Total Return: +28.48%
Back to Reversion