Compendium › Reversion › ABBV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ABBV
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 3 trades in period

+2.17%
Last Month Return
$9,926.94
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$9,716.31
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:31:35

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 8.5/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 6.6

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,716.31
Current Value
$9,926.94
Period P&L
$210.63
Max Drawdown
-4.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+7.16%
Worst Trade
-4.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.31%
Avg Hold Time
8.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$57,213.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$210.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$210.63
Gross Return
+2.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,716.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $214.20 46 $9,853.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $206.96 46 $9,520.16 $9,715.85 $-333.04
(-3.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $207.91 46 $9,563.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $198.10 46 $9,112.60 $9,264.71 $-451.14
(-4.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $196.82 47 $9,250.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $210.91 47 $9,913.00 $9,926.94 +$662.23
(+7.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,926.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-73.06
Total Return: -0.73%
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