Compendium › Reversion › ACN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ACN
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 4 trades in period

-17.03%
Last Month Return
$6,301.00
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$7,594.16
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:57:15

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 7.3/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 6.1

30-Day Momentum

1
-16.0%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,548
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,594.16
Current Value
$6,301.00
Period P&L
$-1,293.16
Max Drawdown
-10.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.81

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+4.74%
Worst Trade
-7.27%
Avg Trade Return
-4.19%
Avg Hold Time
5.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$57,027.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,293.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,293.16
Gross Return
-17.03%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $7,594.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:00pm ET $177.15 42 $7,440.51 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $185.55 42 $7,793.31 $7,854.35 +$352.80
(+4.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $195.96 40 $7,838.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $181.71 40 $7,268.20 $7,284.15 $-570.20
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $179.39 40 $7,175.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:35am ET $166.56 40 $6,662.40 $6,770.95 $-513.20
(-7.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:50pm ET $170.76 39 $6,659.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $158.71 39 $6,189.69 $6,301.00 $-469.95
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,301.00
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,699.00
Total Return: -36.99%
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