Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:53:13

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 13.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 13.1

30-Day Momentum

58
+23.3%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 78.5 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+45 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,547
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,214.85
Current Value
$8,895.05
Period P&L
$1,680.20
Max Drawdown
-34.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.72

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
5 / 1
Best Trade
+7.21%
Worst Trade
-7.70%
Avg Trade Return
+3.69%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$93,039.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,680.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,680.20
Gross Return
+23.29%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $7,214.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 1:20pm ET $1.53 4,715 $7,213.95
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:00am ET $1.62 4,715 $7,614.73 $7,615.63 +$400.78
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $1.97 3,862 $7,615.48
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $1.82 3,862 $7,028.84 $7,028.99 $-586.64
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $1.87 3,768 $7,027.32
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $1.97 3,768 $7,422.21 $7,423.88 +$394.89
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $2.01 3,693 $7,423.30
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $2.15 3,693 $7,958.41 $7,959.00 +$535.12
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $2.30 3,460 $7,957.65
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $2.44 3,460 $8,442.40 $8,443.75 +$484.75
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $2.69 3,134 $8,442.06
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:10am ET $2.84 3,134 $8,893.35 $8,895.05 +$451.30
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,895.05
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,104.95
Total Return: -11.05%
Back to Reversion