Compendium › Reversion › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 3 trades in period

+1.36%
Last Month Return
$9,725.04
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$9,594.18
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:53:52

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 11.8/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 9.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,546
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,594.18
Current Value
$9,725.04
Period P&L
$130.85
Max Drawdown
-7.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.87

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+3.25%
Worst Trade
-0.92%
Avg Trade Return
+1.54%
Avg Hold Time
12.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$56,720.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$130.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$130.85
Gross Return
+1.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,594.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $332.33 27 $8,972.91 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $339.95 27 $9,178.78 $9,504.68 +$205.88
(+2.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $339.40 28 $9,503.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $350.44 28 $9,812.32 $9,813.80 +$309.12
(+3.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:55am ET $345.40 28 $9,671.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $342.23 28 $9,582.44 $9,725.04 $-88.76
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,725.04
Net Profit/Loss: $-274.96
Total Return: -2.75%
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