Compendium › Reversion › AMZN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMZN
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+23.06%
Last Month Return
$12,415.84
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$10,088.86
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:59:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.8/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
12.3/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
7.4/10
Raw Quality 41.8/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 35.7

30-Day Momentum

59
+22.4%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 89.2 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,722
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,088.86
Current Value
$12,415.84
Period P&L
$2,326.98
Max Drawdown
-12.5%
Sharpe Ratio
17.53

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
4 / 0
Best Trade
+5.75%
Worst Trade
+5.02%
Avg Trade Return
+5.24%
Avg Hold Time
5.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$89,384.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,326.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,326.98
Gross Return
+23.06%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,088.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $211.81 47 $9,955.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.99 47 $10,527.53 $10,714.90 +$572.46
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $237.26 45 $10,676.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 12:20pm ET $249.35 45 $11,220.75 $11,258.89 +$543.99
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $247.33 45 $11,129.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $259.88 45 $11,694.60 $11,823.64 +$564.75
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET $262.09 45 $11,794.05 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:45am ET $275.25 45 $12,386.25 $12,415.84 +$592.20
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,415.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,415.84
Total Return: +24.16%
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