Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:24:09

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.7/35
Total Return
15.5/25
Win Rate
9.2/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 42.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 42.3

30-Day Momentum

56
+23.4%
30d Return
78%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 66.3 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+14 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,996.71
Current Value
$17,266.32
Period P&L
$3,269.61
Max Drawdown
-26.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.48

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
7 / 2
Best Trade
+5.68%
Worst Trade
-7.44%
Avg Trade Return
+2.51%
Avg Hold Time
17.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$280,772.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,269.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,269.61
Gross Return
+23.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $13,996.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $303.75 46 $13,972.50
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 12:05pm ET $319.29 46 $14,687.46 $14,711.67 +$714.96
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $302.52 48 $14,521.08
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $317.99 48 $15,263.52 $15,454.11 +$742.44
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $401.13 38 $15,242.94
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:35am ET $423.36 38 $16,087.82 $16,298.99 +$844.88
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:20pm ET $394.01 41 $16,154.41
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 2:20pm ET $414.04 41 $16,975.64 $17,120.22 +$821.23
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $368.80 46 $16,965.03
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $342.34 46 $15,747.64 $15,902.83 $-1,217.39
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $346.95 45 $15,612.75
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $321.14 45 $14,451.30 $14,741.38 $-1,161.45
(-7.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $304.96 48 $14,638.08
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET $321.70 48 $15,441.60 $15,544.90 +$803.52
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $372.23 41 $15,261.63
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:35am ET $393.37 41 $16,128.17 $16,411.44 +$866.54
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $420.08 39 $16,383.12
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $442.00 39 $17,238.00 $17,266.32 +$854.88
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,266.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,266.32
Total Return: +72.66%
Back to Reversion