Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:52:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.2/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 31.2/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 25.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,546
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,594.72
Current Value
$11,169.89
Period P&L
$575.17
Max Drawdown
-9.8%
Sharpe Ratio
1.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
2 / 0
Best Trade
+5.00%
Worst Trade
+0.47%
Avg Trade Return
+2.74%
Avg Hold Time
9.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$42,214.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$575.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$575.17
Gross Return
+5.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,594.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $311.79 33 $10,289.07
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $313.26 33 $10,337.58 $10,643.23 +$48.51
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $309.73 34 $10,530.82
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:10pm ET $325.22 34 $11,057.48 $11,169.89 +$526.66
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,169.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,169.89
Total Return: +11.70%
Back to Reversion