Compendium › Reversion › C
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
C
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 4 trades in period

+16.88%
Last Month Return
$16,401.61
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$14,032.40
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-22 06:40:45

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

60
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
22.1/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
12.6/15
Profit Factor
12.7/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 69.6/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 60.3

30-Day Momentum

58
+17.8%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 87.6 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,032.40
Current Value
$16,401.61
Period P&L
$2,369.20
Max Drawdown
-10.1%
Sharpe Ratio
2.35

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
4 / 0
Best Trade
+5.51%
Worst Trade
+1.12%
Avg Trade Return
+4.22%
Avg Hold Time
7.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$118,735.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,369.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,369.20
Gross Return
+16.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $14,032.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $124.59 111 $13,829.49 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $125.99 111 $13,984.34 $14,072.92 +$154.85
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $125.31 112 $14,034.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:50am ET $131.59 112 $14,738.08 $14,776.84 +$703.92
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:10am ET $129.31 114 $14,741.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $136.43 114 $15,553.59 $15,589.09 +$812.25
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $139.83 111 $15,521.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $147.15 111 $16,333.65 $16,401.61 +$812.52
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,401.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,401.61
Total Return: +64.02%
Back to Reversion