Compendium › Reversion › C
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
C
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 3 trades in period

+7.23%
Last Month Return
$14,175.59
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$13,220.20
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:46:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.4/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
12.3/15
Profit Factor
8.7/15
Consistency
7.4/10
Raw Quality 56.3/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 46.9

30-Day Momentum

41
+10.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 66.2 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,720
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,220.20
Current Value
$14,175.59
Period P&L
$955.39
Max Drawdown
-10.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.90

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+6.85%
Worst Trade
-1.85%
Avg Trade Return
+3.38%
Avg Hold Time
7.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$82,953.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$955.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$955.39
Gross Return
+7.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $13,220.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $114.06 112 $12,774.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $121.87 112 $13,649.44 $13,740.44 +$874.75
(+6.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $124.92 109 $13,616.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $131.36 109 $14,318.24 $14,442.30 +$701.86
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $131.19 110 $14,430.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $128.77 110 $14,164.19 $14,175.59 $-266.71
(-1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,175.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,175.59
Total Return: +41.76%
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