Compendium › Reversion › COP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COP
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-1.80%
Last Month Return
$10,094.55
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,279.06
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:59:25

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
2.4/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 16.0/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 13.3

30-Day Momentum

3
-3.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,722
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,279.06
Current Value
$10,094.55
Period P&L
$-184.51
Max Drawdown
-10.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+5.26%
Worst Trade
-7.19%
Avg Trade Return
-0.91%
Avg Hold Time
7.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$79,877.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-184.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$-184.51
Gross Return
-1.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,279.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $133.86 78 $10,441.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $131.35 78 $10,245.30 $10,310.65 $-195.78
(-1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $122.76 83 $10,189.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $113.93 83 $9,456.60 $9,578.17 $-732.48
(-7.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $117.28 81 $9,499.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $123.45 81 $9,999.45 $10,077.94 +$499.77
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $123.64 81 $10,014.84 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $123.85 81 $10,031.45 $10,094.55 +$16.61
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,094.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$94.55
Total Return: +0.95%
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