Compendium › Reversion › CRWD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CRWD
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 4 trades in period

-11.31%
Last Month Return
$8,985.49
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$10,131.43
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:55:55

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 11.7/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 11.2

30-Day Momentum

0
-11.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,548
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,131.43
Current Value
$8,985.49
Period P&L
$-1,145.94
Max Drawdown
-21.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.41

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+6.80%
Worst Trade
-10.25%
Avg Trade Return
-2.72%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$76,843.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,145.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,145.94
Gross Return
-11.31%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,131.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $650.64 15 $9,759.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $694.87 15 $10,423.05 $10,794.88 +$663.45
(+6.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $764.85 14 $10,707.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $686.48 14 $9,610.79 $9,697.77 $-1,097.11
(-10.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $685.44 14 $9,596.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:20am ET $636.35 14 $8,908.90 $9,010.58 $-687.19
(-7.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $687.00 13 $8,931.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $685.07 13 $8,905.91 $8,985.49 $-25.09
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,985.49
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,014.51
Total Return: -10.15%
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