Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:27

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 11.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 11.9

30-Day Momentum

12
+0.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.3 Conf: 0.74×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,049.57
Current Value
$6,836.02
Period P&L
$-213.55
Max Drawdown
-28.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+6.92%
Worst Trade
-14.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.39%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$86,871.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-213.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$-213.55
Gross Return
-3.03%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $7,049.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $67.19 101 $6,786.59
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:35pm ET $70.58 101 $7,129.08 $7,159.15 +$342.49
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $72.16 99 $7,143.85
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $77.15 99 $7,638.34 $7,653.64 +$494.49
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $85.36 89 $7,596.60
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $90.10 89 $8,018.90 $8,075.94 +$422.30
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $89.70 90 $8,073.00
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $83.39 90 $7,505.10 $7,508.04 $-567.90
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $84.45 88 $7,431.60
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $72.15 88 $6,349.00 $6,425.44 $-1,082.60
(-14.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $72.66 88 $6,394.46
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $77.33 88 $6,805.04 $6,836.02 +$410.58
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,836.02
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,163.98
Total Return: -31.64%
Back to Reversion