Compendium › Reversion › JNJ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
JNJ
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 3 trades in period

-1.12%
Last Month Return
$10,065.16
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$10,179.19
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:58:44

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.4/35
Total Return
5.4/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
7.8/10
Raw Quality 20.3/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 14.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,548
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,179.19
Current Value
$10,065.16
Period P&L
$-114.03
Max Drawdown
-2.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.00%
Worst Trade
-2.73%
Avg Trade Return
+0.44%
Avg Hold Time
8.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$59,728.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-114.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$-114.03
Gross Return
-1.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,179.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:35am ET $229.25 43 $9,857.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:35am ET $227.05 43 $9,763.15 $9,853.01 $-94.60
(-1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $222.45 44 $9,787.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:25am ET $233.57 44 $10,277.08 $10,342.51 +$489.50
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $236.28 43 $10,160.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $229.83 43 $9,882.69 $10,065.16 $-277.35
(-2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,065.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$65.16
Total Return: +0.65%
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