Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:54:13

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 11.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 11.2

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.7%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.1 Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,547
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$7,338.23
Current Value
$7,177.19
Period P&L
$-161.04
Max Drawdown
-26.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+6.78%
Worst Trade
-7.89%
Avg Trade Return
+0.68%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$120,090.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-161.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-161.04
Gross Return
-2.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $7,338.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:35am ET $5.61 1,231 $6,912.06
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $5.93 1,231 $7,299.95 $7,301.42 +$387.89
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $6.00 1,216 $7,296.12
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $6.34 1,216 $7,709.44 $7,714.74 +$413.32
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $6.41 1,202 $7,710.83
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET $6.85 1,202 $8,233.70 $8,237.61 +$522.87
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 2:15pm ET $6.37 1,293 $8,236.80
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $5.89 1,293 $7,609.31 $7,610.12 $-627.49
(-7.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $5.70 1,333 $7,604.76
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:55am ET $5.26 1,333 $7,004.92 $7,010.27 $-599.85
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $5.11 1,372 $7,009.00
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET $5.38 1,372 $7,381.50 $7,382.77 +$372.50
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $4.80 1,538 $7,382.40
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $5.05 1,538 $7,764.44 $7,764.81 +$382.04
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:40pm ET $5.38 1,442 $7,761.57
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $4.97 1,442 $7,173.95 $7,177.19 $-587.62
(-7.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,177.19
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,822.81
Total Return: -28.23%
Back to Reversion