Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:23:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.9/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 27.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 27.0

30-Day Momentum

26
+6.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,843.97
Current Value
$12,414.44
Period P&L
$1,570.47
Max Drawdown
-27.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+7.88%
Worst Trade
-8.84%
Avg Trade Return
+2.17%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$154,924.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,570.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,570.47
Gross Return
+14.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,843.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $8.90 1,217 $10,837.38
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $8.24 1,217 $10,027.96 $10,034.54 $-809.43
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $9.43 1,064 $10,033.52
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $9.92 1,064 $10,552.75 $10,553.77 +$519.23
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.31 1,134 $10,551.87
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:30am ET $9.87 1,134 $11,192.58 $11,194.48 +$640.71
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $11.30 990 $11,190.66
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET $11.92 990 $11,800.80 $11,804.62 +$610.14
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $11.81 999 $11,803.18
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.77 999 $10,759.23 $10,760.67 $-1,043.95
(-8.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $10.73 1,003 $10,757.18
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET $11.47 1,003 $11,504.41 $11,507.90 +$747.23
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
7 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:35am ET $11.99 959 $11,503.20
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $12.94 959 $12,409.75 $12,414.44 +$906.54
(+7.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,414.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,414.44
Total Return: +24.14%
Back to Reversion