Compendium › Reversion › MDT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MDT
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 3 trades in period

-7.06%
Last Month Return
$9,287.29
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$9,992.71
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:09:44

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 14.6/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 10.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-6.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,736
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,992.71
Current Value
$9,287.29
Period P&L
$-705.42
Max Drawdown
-3.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.58

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+2.87%
Worst Trade
-5.23%
Avg Trade Return
-2.02%
Avg Hold Time
10d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$58,856.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-705.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$-705.42
Gross Return
-7.06%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,992.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $85.71 115 $9,856.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $88.17 115 $10,139.55 $10,173.26 +$282.90
(+2.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $87.11 116 $10,104.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $83.87 116 $9,728.92 $9,798.00 $-375.26
(-3.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $83.50 117 $9,768.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $79.13 117 $9,258.21 $9,287.29 $-510.71
(-5.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,287.29
Net Profit/Loss: $-712.71
Total Return: -7.13%
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