Compendium › Reversion › NFLX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NFLX
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-12.43%
Last Month Return
$7,998.59
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$9,134.09
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:47:13

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 6.4/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 5.3

30-Day Momentum

0
-5.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,720
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,134.09
Current Value
$7,998.59
Period P&L
$-1,135.50
Max Drawdown
-10.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.56

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+5.05%
Worst Trade
-9.26%
Avg Trade Return
-3.14%
Avg Hold Time
5.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$70,432.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,135.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,135.50
Gross Return
-12.43%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,134.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $98.64 92 $9,074.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 1:30pm ET $103.62 92 $9,533.43 $9,592.64 +$458.55
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $105.86 90 $9,526.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $96.05 90 $8,644.68 $8,710.37 $-882.27
(-9.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:10am ET $94.23 92 $8,669.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:10am ET $93.08 92 $8,562.99 $8,604.20 $-106.17
(-1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:15pm ET $93.55 91 $8,513.05 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $86.89 91 $7,907.44 $7,998.59 $-605.61
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,998.59
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,001.41
Total Return: -20.01%
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