Compendium › Reversion › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 3 trades in period

+15.83%
Last Month Return
$10,536.59
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$9,096.40
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
6.7/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 20.4/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 19.7

30-Day Momentum

53
+19.3%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 86.7 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+33 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,096.40
Current Value
$10,536.59
Period P&L
$1,440.18
Max Drawdown
-18.0%
Sharpe Ratio
7.00

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
3 / 0
Best Trade
+7.28%
Worst Trade
+5.20%
Avg Trade Return
+6.10%
Avg Hold Time
6.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$57,985.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,440.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,440.18
Gross Return
+15.83%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,096.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $172.08 51 $8,776.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.60 51 $9,414.60 $9,471.78 +$638.52
(+7.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $180.97 52 $9,410.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $191.50 52 $9,958.00 $10,019.34 +$547.56
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $199.10 50 $9,954.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:10am ET $209.44 50 $10,472.00 $10,536.59 +$517.25
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,536.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$536.59
Total Return: +5.37%
Back to Reversion