Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:54:29

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 12.1/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 11.5

30-Day Momentum

10
+0.6%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.7 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,733
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,133.57
Current Value
$9,128.66
Period P&L
$-4.91
Max Drawdown
-21.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+5.88%
Worst Trade
-7.67%
Avg Trade Return
+0.32%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$88,649.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4.91
Gross Return
-0.05%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,133.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $145.65 62 $9,030.30
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $135.20 62 $8,382.40 $8,423.36 $-647.90
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $161.60 52 $8,403.21
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $171.10 52 $8,897.20 $8,917.36 +$494.00
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:45am ET $177.39 50 $8,869.50
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET $187.07 50 $9,353.75 $9,401.61 +$484.25
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $175.93 53 $9,324.29
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $162.43 53 $8,608.79 $8,686.11 $-715.50
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $163.56 53 $8,668.68
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:25am ET $171.91 53 $9,111.23 $9,128.66 +$442.55
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,128.66
Net Profit/Loss: $-871.34
Total Return: -8.71%
Back to Reversion