Compendium › Reversion › PG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PG
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 3 trades in period

+8.57%
Last Month Return
$9,855.53
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$9,077.89
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:57:24

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 7.5/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 5.4

30-Day Momentum

39
+9.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
5.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 63.7 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,548
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,077.89
Current Value
$9,855.53
Period P&L
$777.64
Max Drawdown
-2.7%
Sharpe Ratio
1.10

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+5.07%
Worst Trade
-0.87%
Avg Trade Return
+3.09%
Avg Hold Time
7.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$55,240.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$777.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$777.64
Gross Return
+8.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,077.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $142.76 63 $8,993.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $141.51 63 $8,915.13 $8,932.99 $-78.44
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $139.35 64 $8,918.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $146.41 64 $9,370.24 $9,384.83 +$451.84
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $145.10 64 $9,286.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET $152.46 64 $9,757.12 $9,855.53 +$470.70
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,855.53
Net Profit/Loss: $-144.47
Total Return: -1.44%
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