Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:55:54

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

51
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.7/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
12.3/15
Profit Factor
11.6/15
Consistency
8.2/10
Raw Quality 65.1/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 50.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,067
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,182.20
Current Value
$12,847.60
Period P&L
$1,665.40
Max Drawdown
-3.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.57

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+5.10%
Worst Trade
-1.96%
Avg Trade Return
+1.45%
Avg Hold Time
9.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$214,283.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,665.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,665.40
Gross Return
+14.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,182.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $267.55 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $269.13 0 $0.00 $11,247.02 +$64.82
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $255.15 44 $11,226.60
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:35am ET $253.34 44 $11,146.96 $11,167.38 $-79.64
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $253.61 44 $11,158.84
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $248.65 44 $10,940.60 $10,949.14 $-218.24
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:35pm ET $245.54 44 $10,803.76
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $258.05 44 $11,354.42 $11,499.80 +$550.66
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $256.11 44 $11,268.84
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $267.88 44 $11,786.50 $12,017.46 +$517.66
(+4.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $271.85 44 $11,961.40
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:05pm ET $271.83 44 $11,960.52 $12,016.58 $-0.88
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $280.91 42 $11,798.22
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 2:05pm ET $292.90 42 $12,301.80 $12,520.16 +$503.58
(+4.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:35am ET $297.68 42 $12,502.56
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $309.40 42 $12,994.80 $13,012.40 +$492.24
(+3.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
9 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $310.22 41 $12,719.02
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $308.77 41 $12,659.57 $12,952.95 $-59.45
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $300.05 43 $12,902.15
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $297.60 43 $12,796.80 $12,847.60 $-105.35
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,847.60
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,847.60
Total Return: +28.48%
Back to Reversion