Compendium › Reversion › ADBE
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ADBE
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 28 trades in period

-14.35%
Last Year Return
$8,295.78
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$9,685.52
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:16:02

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 11.4/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 10.0

30-Day Momentum

16
+2.3%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.2 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,674
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,685.52
Current Value
$8,295.78
Period P&L
$-1,389.74
Max Drawdown
-11.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
16 / 12
Best Trade
+5.71%
Worst Trade
-10.37%
Avg Trade Return
-0.51%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$113,474.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,389.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,389.74
Gross Return
-14.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,685.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET $406.20 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 11:30am ET $397.75 0 $0.00 $9,491.28 $-194.24
(-2.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET $393.39 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 9:40am ET $385.39 0 $0.00 $9,299.40 $-191.88
(-2.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2025 9:40am ET $391.27 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 1:50pm ET $382.98 0 $0.00 $9,108.73 $-190.67
(-2.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 9:30am ET $378.39 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 9:30am ET $379.79 0 $0.00 $9,142.45 +$33.72
(+0.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET $357.79 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 10:50am ET $361.47 0 $0.00 $9,234.45 +$92.00
(+1.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 9:30am ET $335.08 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2025 10:25am ET $338.94 0 $0.00 $9,338.54 +$104.09
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 9:30am ET $351.97 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $352.83 0 $0.00 $9,360.89 +$22.35
(+0.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 9:45am ET $342.83 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 9:40am ET $347.75 0 $0.00 $9,493.73 +$132.84
(+1.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET $347.48 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 11:00am ET $340.46 0 $0.00 $9,304.23 $-189.50
(-2.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET $318.02 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:35am ET $319.56 0 $0.00 $9,348.89 +$44.66
(+0.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET $345.65 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 11:15am ET $350.13 0 $0.00 $9,469.85 +$120.96
(+1.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET $342.68 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET $335.35 0 $0.00 $9,272.07 $-197.78
(-2.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $327.89 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET $331.39 0 $0.00 $9,369.93 +$97.86
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET $331.48 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 1:45pm ET $334.80 0 $0.00 $9,462.75 +$92.82
(+1.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $325.71 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:55am ET $329.31 0 $0.00 $9,567.01 +$104.26
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $321.28 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:25am ET $314.54 0 $0.00 $9,371.55 $-195.46
(-2.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET $297.12 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $300.75 0 $0.00 $9,484.08 +$112.53
(+1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $292.60 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $285.94 0 $0.00 $9,270.96 $-213.12
(-2.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $282.01 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:35am ET $276.23 0 $0.00 $9,085.97 $-184.99
(-2.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $264.94 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET $272.06 0 $0.00 $9,328.05 +$242.08
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET $257.73 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 9:30am ET $260.77 0 $0.00 $9,437.85 +$109.80
(+1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $281.41 33 $9,286.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $252.22 33 $8,323.26 $8,474.58 $-963.27
(-10.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $248.02 34 $8,432.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $237.34 34 $8,069.56 $8,111.29 $-363.29
(-4.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $236.38 34 $8,036.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $241.50 34 $8,211.00 $8,285.37 +$174.08
(+2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $243.27 34 $8,271.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $225.51 34 $7,667.51 $7,681.70 $-603.67
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:10pm ET $237.97 32 $7,615.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $251.55 32 $8,049.60 $8,116.26 +$434.56
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:15am ET $248.58 32 $7,954.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:15am ET $241.80 32 $7,737.60 $7,899.30 $-216.96
(-2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $240.97 32 $7,711.04 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:15am ET $253.36 32 $8,107.52 $8,295.78 +$396.48
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,295.78
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,704.22
Total Return: -17.04%
Back to Reversion