Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:47:29

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.5/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 37.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 36.7

30-Day Momentum

60
+26.0%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 80.5 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,536
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,276.59
Current Value
$18,086.12
Period P&L
$8,809.53
Max Drawdown
-23.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
59
Winners / Losers
35 / 24
Best Trade
+32.19%
Worst Trade
-7.80%
Avg Trade Return
+1.30%
Avg Hold Time
17.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$331,684.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8,809.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$8,809.53
Gross Return
+94.97%
Net Return (after fees)
+94.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 59 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,276.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $98.55 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 12:10pm ET $99.97 0 $0.00 $9,410.52 +$133.93
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $114.40 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 9:30am ET $113.76 0 $0.00 $9,358.04 $-52.48
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:25pm ET $112.60 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 1:25pm ET $111.66 0 $0.00 $9,280.02 $-78.02
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $108.64 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 12:40pm ET $109.75 0 $0.00 $9,373.95 +$93.93
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET $115.99 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 11:00am ET $117.27 0 $0.00 $9,476.35 +$102.40
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 9:35am ET $138.59 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:10am ET $135.23 0 $0.00 $9,247.87 $-228.48
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 9:40am ET $142.08 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 10:00am ET $143.51 0 $0.00 $9,340.82 +$92.95
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:30am ET $154.73 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET $149.68 0 $0.00 $9,037.78 $-303.04
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $169.87 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 10:30am ET $172.76 0 $0.00 $9,190.46 +$152.68
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 9:30am ET $166.11 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 10:15am ET $162.60 0 $0.00 $8,997.54 $-192.92
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 9:30am ET $170.08 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 1:05pm ET $166.64 0 $0.00 $8,818.92 $-178.62
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 9:40am ET $162.70 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 10:40am ET $159.08 0 $0.00 $8,623.44 $-195.48
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET $163.25 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2025 9:30am ET $167.18 0 $0.00 $8,827.80 +$204.36
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 9:45am ET $164.43 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $158.30 0 $0.00 $8,502.91 $-324.89
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:35am ET $159.04 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:45am ET $160.91 0 $0.00 $8,602.02 +$99.11
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $154.69 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:20am ET $150.56 0 $0.00 $8,374.87 $-227.15
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET $152.00 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 9:55am ET $153.88 0 $0.00 $8,478.27 +$103.40
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $156.87 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 10:15am ET $158.63 0 $0.00 $8,573.28 +$95.01
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 1:50pm ET $163.37 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $215.96 0 $0.00 $11,307.96 +$2,734.68
(+32.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:55am ET $223.59 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET $216.91 0 $0.00 $10,973.96 $-334.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:40am ET $229.21 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 9:50am ET $232.39 0 $0.00 $11,123.18 +$149.22
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 10:25am ET $232.91 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 12:45pm ET $228.18 0 $0.00 $10,900.87 $-222.31
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $248.45 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:35am ET $251.83 0 $0.00 $11,046.43 +$145.56
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET $246.46 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 9:45am ET $249.68 0 $0.00 $11,187.89 +$141.46
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $251.78 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:50am ET $245.40 0 $0.00 $10,907.17 $-280.72
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 10:30am ET $237.94 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 1:40pm ET $245.73 0 $0.00 $11,257.72 +$350.55
(+3.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $249.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:50am ET $253.26 0 $0.00 $11,433.45 +$175.73
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $236.25 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:35am ET $239.87 0 $0.00 $11,607.28 +$173.83
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET $230.77 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 10:00am ET $225.12 0 $0.00 $11,325.21 $-282.07
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:15am ET $222.75 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:40am ET $218.25 0 $0.00 $11,100.21 $-225.00
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET $203.18 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET $197.47 0 $0.00 $10,792.14 $-308.07
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $198.07 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 12:20pm ET $200.63 0 $0.00 $10,930.38 +$138.24
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 11:10am ET $218.08 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET $212.14 0 $0.00 $10,633.13 $-297.25
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $213.42 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 12:20pm ET $215.85 0 $0.00 $10,752.23 +$119.10
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:25am ET $214.37 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:30am ET $209.72 0 $0.00 $10,519.73 $-232.50
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:45am ET $202.80 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 2:15pm ET $198.64 0 $0.00 $10,307.57 $-212.16
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET $213.20 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $207.93 0 $0.00 $10,054.61 $-252.96
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $208.23 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:05am ET $210.35 0 $0.00 $10,156.47 +$101.86
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $217.25 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:10am ET $219.60 0 $0.00 $10,264.42 +$107.95
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:45am ET $252.20 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET $251.74 0 $0.00 $10,246.13 $-18.29
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET $246.74 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:00am ET $241.48 0 $0.00 $10,030.47 $-215.66
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $241.24 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET $244.36 0 $0.00 $10,158.60 +$128.13
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $211.66 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET $215.39 0 $0.00 $10,333.91 +$175.31
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $196.39 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $192.30 0 $0.00 $10,121.23 $-212.68
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET $209.63 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:40am ET $212.12 0 $0.00 $10,240.75 +$119.52
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET $206.24 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $208.62 0 $0.00 $10,357.37 +$116.62
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $196.65 52 $10,226.06
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:40am ET $207.57 52 $10,793.90 $10,925.21 +$567.84
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:40am ET $202.10 54 $10,913.41
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $206.40 54 $11,145.33 $11,157.13 +$231.92
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $201.39 55 $11,076.45
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $211.51 55 $11,632.78 $11,713.46 +$556.33
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $217.85 53 $11,546.31
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $201.85 53 $10,698.05 $10,865.20 $-848.26
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $193.90 56 $10,858.68
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:25pm ET $203.74 56 $11,409.44 $11,415.96 +$550.76
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $204.05 55 $11,222.75
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 11:20am ET $214.54 55 $11,799.43 $11,992.64 +$576.68
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $219.36 54 $11,845.44
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $232.37 54 $12,547.98 $12,695.18 +$702.54
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $244.32 51 $12,460.32
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $256.55 51 $13,084.05 $13,318.91 +$623.73
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:45pm ET $273.34 48 $13,120.51
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $291.27 48 $13,980.96 $14,179.36 +$860.45
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $305.58 46 $14,056.68
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $336.83 46 $15,494.41 $15,617.09 +$1,437.73
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $338.27 46 $15,560.42
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $311.88 46 $14,346.25 $14,402.92 $-1,214.17
(-7.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $321.40 44 $14,141.60
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $337.47 44 $14,848.68 $15,110.00 +$707.08
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
59 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $355.94 42 $14,949.48
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $426.80 42 $17,925.60 $18,086.12 +$2,976.12
(+19.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,086.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,086.12
Total Return: +80.86%
Back to Reversion