Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:59:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.8/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
12.3/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
7.4/10
Raw Quality 41.8/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 35.7

30-Day Momentum

59
+22.4%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 89.2 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
39,983
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$12,156.05
Current Value
$12,415.84
Period P&L
$259.79
Max Drawdown
-12.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
10 / 7
Best Trade
+5.75%
Worst Trade
-9.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$131,247.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$259.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$259.79
Gross Return
+2.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $12,156.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 9:35am ET $204.89 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 9:35am ET $205.54 0 $0.00 $12,194.42 +$38.37
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $218.10 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 1:55pm ET $213.63 0 $0.00 $11,948.84 $-245.58
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $223.92 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 9:30am ET $226.65 0 $0.00 $12,093.58 +$144.74
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 9:40am ET $231.88 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 10:15am ET $234.26 0 $0.00 $12,217.34 +$123.76
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 9:50am ET $221.89 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 9:50am ET $221.58 0 $0.00 $12,200.29 $-17.05
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET $219.81 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 11:20am ET $220.20 0 $0.00 $12,222.01 +$21.72
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $214.29 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 10:30am ET $216.74 0 $0.00 $12,361.66 +$139.65
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:55am ET $225.36 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET $220.49 0 $0.00 $12,098.68 $-262.98
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $232.63 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $230.14 0 $0.00 $11,969.20 $-129.48
(-1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $224.82 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $203.01 0 $0.00 $10,813.53 $-1,155.67
(-9.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $202.34 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:15am ET $204.39 0 $0.00 $10,922.18 +$108.65
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $215.05 50 $10,752.75
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $209.61 50 $10,480.50 $10,649.93 $-272.25
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:30pm ET $211.36 50 $10,568.24
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $201.21 50 $10,060.75 $10,142.44 $-507.49
(-4.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $211.81 47 $9,955.07
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.99 47 $10,527.53 $10,714.90 +$572.46
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $237.26 45 $10,676.76
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 12:20pm ET $249.35 45 $11,220.75 $11,258.89 +$543.99
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $247.33 45 $11,129.85
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $259.88 45 $11,694.60 $11,823.64 +$564.75
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET $262.09 45 $11,794.05
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:45am ET $275.25 45 $12,386.25 $12,415.84 +$592.20
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,415.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,415.84
Total Return: +24.16%
Back to Reversion