Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 06:18:01

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.6/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 30.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 30.5

30-Day Momentum

19
+2.6%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.1 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,700
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,330.25
Current Value
$12,697.11
Period P&L
$1,366.86
Max Drawdown
-26.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
64
Winners / Losers
38 / 26
Best Trade
+10.00%
Worst Trade
-10.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
19.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$262,683.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,366.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,366.86
Gross Return
+12.06%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 64 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,330.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:45am ET $119.20 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 10:25am ET $120.47 0 $0.00 $11,451.20 +$120.95
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 9:30am ET $114.57 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 9:40am ET $116.60 0 $0.00 $11,652.42 +$201.22
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 9:45am ET $129.57 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 10:55am ET $131.86 0 $0.00 $11,856.23 +$203.81
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $129.72 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 9:35am ET $131.53 0 $0.00 $12,020.94 +$164.71
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $131.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 1:20pm ET $130.40 0 $0.00 $11,934.49 $-86.45
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $126.80 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $130.09 0 $0.00 $12,244.13 +$309.64
(+2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 29, 2025 10:05am ET $132.34 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 29, 2025 1:20pm ET $129.54 0 $0.00 $11,986.58 $-257.55
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 9:55am ET $124.48 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 30, 2025 10:30am ET $125.94 0 $0.00 $12,127.22 +$140.64
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:30am ET $156.33 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 10:10am ET $153.20 0 $0.00 $11,886.21 $-241.01
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 9:35am ET $151.75 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 10:50am ET $148.37 0 $0.00 $11,622.57 $-263.64
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET $143.17 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 1:10pm ET $144.65 0 $0.00 $11,742.86 +$120.29
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:35am ET $159.60 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 9:45am ET $156.08 0 $0.00 $11,485.90 $-256.96
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET $141.22 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 9:55am ET $142.95 0 $0.00 $11,626.03 +$140.13
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:40am ET $137.11 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 10:30am ET $138.49 0 $0.00 $11,741.95 +$115.92
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 10:45am ET $135.21 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 12:00pm ET $136.69 0 $0.00 $11,869.14 +$127.19
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 10:55am ET $136.60 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:30am ET $131.74 0 $0.00 $11,450.78 $-418.36
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 9:40am ET $130.70 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET $127.69 0 $0.00 $11,188.48 $-262.30
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 9:35am ET $139.61 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $133.33 0 $0.00 $10,686.08 $-502.40
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:35am ET $133.69 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 12:05pm ET $131.00 0 $0.00 $10,473.57 $-212.51
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 9:30am ET $152.49 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 11:00am ET $149.15 0 $0.00 $10,246.30 $-227.27
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET $144.38 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 10:00am ET $145.87 0 $0.00 $10,350.60 +$104.30
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 9:30am ET $143.71 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 9:45am ET $145.17 0 $0.00 $10,455.72 +$105.12
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $141.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 9:40am ET $138.10 0 $0.00 $10,218.47 $-237.25
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET $162.63 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET $158.15 0 $0.00 $9,940.71 $-277.76
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 3:40pm ET $168.38 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 9:50am ET $170.16 0 $0.00 $10,045.73 +$105.02
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 12:30pm ET $169.20 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 12:55pm ET $171.84 0 $0.00 $10,201.79 +$156.06
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:35am ET $166.72 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 10:10am ET $168.41 0 $0.00 $10,304.76 +$102.97
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 3:05pm ET $168.81 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 3:40pm ET $170.80 0 $0.00 $10,426.15 +$121.39
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET $167.01 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET $168.39 0 $0.00 $10,511.71 +$85.56
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $163.13 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:45am ET $165.24 0 $0.00 $10,646.72 +$135.01
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 9:35am ET $157.94 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 9:50am ET $159.56 0 $0.00 $10,755.26 +$108.54
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 10:25am ET $157.58 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 1:15pm ET $159.17 0 $0.00 $10,863.04 +$107.78
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $150.49 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:30am ET $147.20 0 $0.00 $10,626.16 $-236.88
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $143.89 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:45am ET $140.47 0 $0.00 $10,376.97 $-249.19
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $135.82 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:35am ET $138.02 0 $0.00 $10,544.17 +$167.20
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:40am ET $135.82 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 2:45pm ET $137.27 0 $0.00 $10,655.51 +$111.34
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:15am ET $138.73 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:10pm ET $135.43 0 $0.00 $10,404.71 $-250.80
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET $129.91 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:50am ET $131.51 0 $0.00 $10,533.11 +$128.40
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $130.68 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET $127.24 0 $0.00 $10,258.31 $-274.80
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $136.21 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 11:25am ET $133.34 0 $0.00 $10,043.06 $-215.25
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $128.13 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:50am ET $124.74 0 $0.00 $9,778.30 $-264.76
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET $120.29 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:00am ET $119.73 0 $0.00 $9,733.35 $-44.95
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:45am ET $112.90 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:45am ET $112.23 0 $0.00 $9,675.73 $-57.62
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET $109.55 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:25am ET $111.21 0 $0.00 $9,821.81 +$146.08
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET $108.05 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $105.00 0 $0.00 $9,547.76 $-274.05
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET $104.06 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $108.36 0 $0.00 $9,938.61 +$390.85
(+4.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET $113.27 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $115.23 0 $0.00 $10,109.13 +$170.52
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET $116.30 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:55am ET $117.63 0 $0.00 $10,223.48 +$114.35
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $111.69 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:15am ET $109.42 0 $0.00 $10,016.91 $-206.57
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET $106.81 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET $104.37 0 $0.00 $9,789.99 $-226.92
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $102.26 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $106.41 0 $0.00 $10,184.24 +$394.25
(+4.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $119.23 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:50am ET $120.57 0 $0.00 $10,298.12 +$113.88
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET $122.53 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 9:40am ET $124.53 0 $0.00 $10,466.12 +$168.00
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $118.74 88 $10,449.12
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $119.19 88 $10,488.72 $10,505.72 +$39.60
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
55 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET $125.30 83 $10,399.90
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $137.83 83 $11,439.89 $11,545.71 +$1,039.99
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
56 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:35am ET $135.65 85 $11,530.67
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $148.35 85 $12,610.17 $12,625.21 +$1,079.50
(+9.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $156.89 80 $12,551.20
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:45am ET $145.77 80 $11,661.60 $11,735.61 $-889.60
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
58 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $141.05 83 $11,707.15
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:50pm ET $148.77 83 $12,347.91 $12,376.37 +$640.76
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
59 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $153.70 80 $12,296.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $141.91 80 $11,353.20 $11,433.57 $-942.80
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $148.07 77 $11,401.39
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $156.46 77 $12,047.42 $12,079.60 +$646.03
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
61 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $160.14 75 $12,010.50
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 11:15am ET $169.03 75 $12,677.25 $12,746.35 +$666.75
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $173.63 73 $12,674.99
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:45am ET $183.20 73 $13,373.60 $13,444.96 +$698.61
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held
63 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $224.49 59 $13,244.91
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $201.41 59 $11,883.30 $12,083.35 $-1,361.61
(-10.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
64 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $196.07 61 $11,960.28
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET $206.13 61 $12,574.03 $12,697.11 +$613.76
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,697.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,697.11
Total Return: +26.97%
Back to Reversion