Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:48

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.0/35
Total Return
6.9/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 28.3/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 21.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,938
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,760.74
Current Value
$10,569.08
Period P&L
$-191.66
Max Drawdown
-3.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+1.98%
Worst Trade
-3.19%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$86,799.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-191.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-191.66
Gross Return
-1.78%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,760.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:45am ET $48.62 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 3:20pm ET $47.63 0 $0.00 $10,541.95 $-218.79
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 9:30am ET $46.79 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 10:10am ET $47.32 0 $0.00 $10,661.20 +$119.25
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2025 10:35am ET $47.42 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 1:30pm ET $47.92 0 $0.00 $10,773.87 +$112.67
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 9:30am ET $46.55 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 10:05am ET $47.04 0 $0.00 $10,887.06 +$113.19
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET $43.36 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 9:35am ET $44.22 0 $0.00 $11,102.92 +$215.86
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 9:35am ET $44.70 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 10:00am ET $45.48 0 $0.00 $11,297.60 +$194.68
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $47.07 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $46.91 0 $0.00 $11,259.20 $-38.40
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:40am ET $46.09 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:40am ET $45.71 0 $0.00 $11,165.26 $-93.94
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $54.10 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $54.69 0 $0.00 $11,287.83 +$122.57
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $59.65 189 $11,274.79
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $59.12 189 $11,173.68 $11,186.72 $-101.11
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $60.35 185 $11,164.75
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $58.63 185 $10,847.47 $10,869.44 $-317.28
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $60.10 180 $10,818.00
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $58.19 180 $10,473.30 $10,524.74 $-344.70
(-3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $58.02 181 $10,501.62
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $58.26 181 $10,545.96 $10,569.08 +$44.34
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,569.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$569.08
Total Return: +5.69%
Back to Reversion