Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:49:40

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.4/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
12.3/15
Profit Factor
8.7/15
Consistency
7.4/10
Raw Quality 56.3/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 46.9

30-Day Momentum

41
+10.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 66.2 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,328
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
262 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,582.26
Current Value
$14,175.59
Period P&L
$3,593.33
Max Drawdown
-10.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.59

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
16 / 4
Best Trade
+6.85%
Worst Trade
-2.19%
Avg Trade Return
+1.52%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$154,662.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,593.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,593.33
Gross Return
+33.96%
Net Return (after fees)
+33.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 262 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,582.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $90.62 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 12:00pm ET $91.57 0 $0.00 $10,692.45 +$110.19
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET $90.79 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 10:10am ET $91.76 0 $0.00 $10,806.53 +$114.08
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $93.34 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 3:10pm ET $94.30 0 $0.00 $10,915.80 +$109.27
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:50am ET $99.95 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 3:05pm ET $101.11 0 $0.00 $11,042.24 +$126.44
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $99.14 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:45am ET $100.14 0 $0.00 $11,153.24 +$111.00
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $98.49 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:50am ET $99.51 0 $0.00 $11,268.50 +$115.26
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $98.51 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:45am ET $99.64 0 $0.00 $11,397.89 +$129.39
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $99.29 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $97.27 0 $0.00 $11,167.04 $-230.85
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $117.20 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $117.68 0 $0.00 $11,213.12 +$46.08
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:55am ET $113.26 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 11:50am ET $110.84 0 $0.00 $10,973.54 $-239.58
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $114.99 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET $116.29 0 $0.00 $11,097.04 +$123.50
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $113.73 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:40am ET $115.62 0 $0.00 $11,280.37 +$183.33
(+1.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:45am ET $114.63 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:40am ET $112.12 0 $0.00 $11,034.38 $-245.99
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $109.40 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:00am ET $110.74 0 $0.00 $11,168.38 +$134.00
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $103.75 107 $11,101.25
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $110.00 107 $11,770.00 $11,837.13 +$668.75
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $108.77 108 $11,747.16
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $112.59 108 $12,159.72 $12,249.69 +$412.56
(+3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $110.52 110 $12,157.20
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET $116.12 110 $12,773.20 $12,865.69 +$616.00
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $114.06 112 $12,774.69
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $121.87 112 $13,649.44 $13,740.44 +$874.75
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $124.92 109 $13,616.38
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $131.36 109 $14,318.24 $14,442.30 +$701.86
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $131.19 110 $14,430.90
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $128.77 110 $14,164.19 $14,175.59 $-266.71
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,175.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,175.59
Total Return: +41.76%
Back to Reversion