Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:05:25

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.5/35
Total Return
6.5/25
Win Rate
4.7/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 22.1/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 16.8

30-Day Momentum

21
+3.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
6.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 33.7 Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
24,126
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,786.46
Current Value
$10,501.47
Period P&L
$715.01
Max Drawdown
-3.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.41

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+3.75%
Worst Trade
-2.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.75%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$99,932.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$715.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$715.01
Gross Return
+7.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,786.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 9:45am ET $1,026.06 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2025 9:45am ET $1,013.80 0 $0.00 $9,676.12 $-110.34
(-1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 9:30am ET $912.31 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 10:40am ET $922.41 0 $0.00 $9,777.12 +$101.00
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $914.90 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $929.18 0 $0.00 $9,919.91 +$142.79
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:55am ET $874.13 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:25am ET $882.95 0 $0.00 $10,016.93 +$97.02
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET $899.42 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $897.90 0 $0.00 $10,000.22 $-16.71
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $966.29 10 $9,662.95
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $1,002.56 10 $10,025.60 $10,362.87 +$362.65
(+3.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $1,004.70 10 $10,046.95
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $983.78 10 $9,837.75 $10,153.67 $-209.20
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $998.12 10 $9,981.20
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $1,035.37 10 $10,353.70 $10,526.17 +$372.50
(+3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $996.66 10 $9,966.60
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $996.47 10 $9,964.70 $10,524.27 $-1.90
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $1,005.78 10 $10,057.80
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1,003.50 10 $10,035.00 $10,501.47 $-22.80
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,501.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$501.47
Total Return: +5.01%
Back to Reversion