Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:59:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 8.2/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 6.9

30-Day Momentum

3
-8.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
27,939
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,245.67
Current Value
$7,159.26
Period P&L
$-2,086.41
Max Drawdown
-15.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.31

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
12 / 14
Best Trade
+5.30%
Worst Trade
-7.66%
Avg Trade Return
-0.94%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$93,867.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,086.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,086.41
Gross Return
-22.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-22.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,245.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 3:15pm ET $272.59 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 10:30am ET $275.94 0 $0.00 $9,356.22 +$110.55
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2025 9:30am ET $260.46 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 29, 2025 1:35pm ET $263.08 0 $0.00 $9,447.92 +$91.70
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $254.24 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET $251.13 0 $0.00 $9,332.85 $-115.07
(-1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 9:50am ET $227.60 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 10:10am ET $230.10 0 $0.00 $9,435.56 +$102.71
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 9:40am ET $241.00 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2025 10:15am ET $243.74 0 $0.00 $9,542.23 +$106.67
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 9:30am ET $236.49 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2025 10:20am ET $239.67 0 $0.00 $9,669.63 +$127.40
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:30am ET $237.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET $240.22 0 $0.00 $9,784.23 +$114.60
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET $242.70 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 11:45am ET $245.18 0 $0.00 $9,883.51 +$99.28
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 9:30am ET $237.68 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 9:45am ET $240.29 0 $0.00 $9,990.32 +$106.81
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET $250.12 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 12:20pm ET $252.69 0 $0.00 $10,090.55 +$100.23
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $246.23 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $240.28 0 $0.00 $9,852.75 $-237.80
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET $255.15 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET $253.85 0 $0.00 $9,803.35 $-49.40
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET $258.95 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:35am ET $253.35 0 $0.00 $9,596.33 $-207.02
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET $252.82 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:15am ET $247.61 0 $0.00 $9,403.41 $-192.92
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:35am ET $228.25 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $226.87 0 $0.00 $9,347.03 $-56.38
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $215.08 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $210.40 0 $0.00 $9,145.79 $-201.24
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $203.56 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET $198.53 0 $0.00 $8,924.47 $-221.32
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET $190.40 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET $193.41 0 $0.00 $9,063.16 +$138.69
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET $194.03 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $189.92 0 $0.00 $8,873.94 $-189.22
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $188.97 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $184.47 0 $0.00 $8,667.02 $-206.92
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET $200.07 43 $8,603.01
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:40am ET $196.08 43 $8,431.61 $8,495.62 $-171.40
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $195.73 43 $8,416.39
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $180.98 43 $7,781.93 $7,861.16 $-634.46
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:55am ET $184.91 42 $7,766.22
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $187.54 42 $7,876.68 $7,971.62 +$110.46
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $184.76 43 $7,944.89
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $170.78 43 $7,343.54 $7,370.26 $-601.36
(-7.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $167.74 43 $7,212.82
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET $176.63 43 $7,595.09 $7,752.53 +$382.27
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $188.88 41 $7,744.08
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $174.41 41 $7,150.81 $7,159.26 $-593.27
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,159.26
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,840.74
Total Return: -28.41%
Back to Reversion