CRWD Reversion's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-06-22 to present • 45 trades in period
+3.46%
Last Year Return
$8,985.49
Current Value
64%
Win Rate
$8,684.72
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality
11.7/100
× Confidence 0.96
= 11.2
30-Day Momentum
0
-11.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,736
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$8,684.72
Current Value
$8,985.49
Period P&L
$300.77
Max Drawdown
-21.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
29 /
16
Best Trade
+6.80%
Worst Trade
-10.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$277,334.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$300.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$300.77
Gross Return
+3.46%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.46%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $8,684.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $465.26 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $470.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,776.34 |
+$91.62 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 10:40am ET | $496.02 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 11:10am ET | $485.41 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,595.88 |
$-180.46 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $502.01 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $504.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,637.87 |
+$41.99 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 9:55am ET | $498.31 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2025 3:50pm ET | $486.83 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,442.66 |
$-195.21 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $469.69 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2025 9:45am ET | $474.87 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,530.72 |
+$88.06 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $458.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2025 9:55am ET | $462.83 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,616.31 |
+$85.59 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $445.50 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 11:40am ET | $450.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,720.53 |
+$104.22 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $439.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 11:45am ET | $428.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,508.30 |
$-212.23 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $412.88 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 9:50am ET | $417.55 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,601.70 |
+$93.40 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 11:00am ET | $438.49 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 3:00pm ET | $444.25 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,711.14 |
+$109.44 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 9:35am ET | $490.28 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 12:25pm ET | $495.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,796.48 |
+$85.34 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET | $498.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $505.41 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,910.47 |
+$113.99 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $495.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $488.79 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,794.02 |
$-116.45 (-1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $539.72 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:50am ET | $546.82 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,907.56 |
+$113.54 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $522.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 12:20pm ET | $527.78 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,999.95 |
+$92.39 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $534.31 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $514.78 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,687.46 |
$-312.49 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $515.26 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 12:50pm ET | $520.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,770.82 |
+$83.36 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:20am ET | $518.39 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET | $507.08 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,589.86 |
$-180.96 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:45am ET | $490.96 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:30am ET | $480.70 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,415.44 |
$-174.42 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $494.13 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:55am ET | $499.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,508.77 |
+$93.33 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $499.49 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 10:10am ET | $505.54 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,611.62 |
+$102.85 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $458.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $464.33 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,712.06 |
+$100.44 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $469.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $470.94 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,735.19 |
+$23.13 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $460.89 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $467.45 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,853.27 |
+$118.08 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $443.82 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $448.41 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,940.58 |
+$87.31 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $447.43 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $437.75 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,756.75 |
$-183.83 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $427.87 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $418.85 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,576.30 |
$-180.45 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $408.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $415.82 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,714.30 |
+$138.00 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:10pm ET | $399.01 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:40pm ET | $389.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,523.12 |
$-191.18 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $424.53 | 20 | $8,490.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $449.82 | 20 | $8,996.40 | $9,028.92 |
+$505.80 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 11:15am ET | $440.77 | 20 | $8,815.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $408.00 | 20 | $8,160.00 | $8,373.62 |
$-655.30 (-7.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $411.16 | 20 | $8,223.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.43 | 20 | $7,408.60 | $7,559.02 |
$-814.60 (-9.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:45pm ET | $379.26 | 19 | $7,205.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $399.65 | 19 | $7,593.35 | $7,946.52 |
+$387.50 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:00pm ET | $400.65 | 19 | $7,612.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:50pm ET | $421.58 | 19 | $8,010.02 | $8,344.19 |
+$397.67 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $415.58 | 20 | $8,311.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $385.40 | 20 | $7,707.95 | $7,740.44 |
$-603.75 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 1:55pm ET | $401.29 | 19 | $7,624.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $422.51 | 19 | $8,027.61 | $8,143.54 |
+$403.10 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $448.86 | 18 | $8,079.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $456.08 | 18 | $8,209.44 | $8,273.50 |
+$129.96 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $476.22 | 17 | $8,095.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:50am ET | $503.20 | 17 | $8,554.40 | $8,732.16 |
+$458.66 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $535.65 | 16 | $8,570.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 3:05pm ET | $564.67 | 16 | $9,034.80 | $9,196.56 |
+$464.40 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $570.27 | 16 | $9,124.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $599.36 | 16 | $9,589.76 | $9,662.08 |
+$465.52 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:40am ET | $619.21 | 15 | $9,288.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $650.50 | 15 | $9,757.50 | $10,131.43 |
+$469.35 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $650.64 | 15 | $9,759.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $694.87 | 15 | $10,423.05 | $10,794.88 |
+$663.45 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $764.85 | 14 | $10,707.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $686.48 | 14 | $9,610.79 | $9,697.77 |
$-1,097.11 (-10.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $685.44 | 14 | $9,596.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $636.35 | 14 | $8,908.90 | $9,010.58 |
$-687.19 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $687.00 | 13 | $8,931.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $685.07 | 13 | $8,905.91 | $8,985.49 |
$-25.09 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,985.49
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,014.51
Total Return:
-10.15%