Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:47:39

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.9/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
9.3/15
Profit Factor
5.1/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 40.0/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 29.9

30-Day Momentum

48
+12.9%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 79.1 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+19 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,170
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,802.33
Current Value
$11,420.55
Period P&L
$1,618.22
Max Drawdown
-4.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.63

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
7 / 2
Best Trade
+5.53%
Worst Trade
-2.12%
Avg Trade Return
+1.76%
Avg Hold Time
5.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$103,762.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,618.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,618.22
Gross Return
+16.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,802.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 9:30am ET $67.59 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 12:50pm ET $66.18 0 $0.00 $9,597.89 $-204.44
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $67.59 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 1:40pm ET $68.28 0 $0.00 $9,695.16 +$97.27
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:35am ET $72.62 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:50am ET $73.38 0 $0.00 $9,795.57 +$100.41
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:30am ET $78.93 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:10am ET $77.25 0 $0.00 $9,587.87 $-207.70
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $78.75 121 $9,528.15
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $78.96 121 $9,554.76 $9,614.49 +$26.62
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:55pm ET $78.79 122 $9,612.99
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:45am ET $82.91 122 $10,115.01 $10,116.51 +$502.02
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $79.37 127 $10,079.99
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $83.42 127 $10,594.34 $10,630.86 +$514.35
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.3d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $82.28 129 $10,614.12
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:45am ET $86.83 129 $11,201.07 $11,217.81 +$586.95
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:10pm ET $89.75 124 $11,129.62
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $91.39 124 $11,332.36 $11,420.55 +$202.74
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,420.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,420.55
Total Return: +14.21%
Back to Reversion