DKNG Reversion's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 42 trades in period
+1.92%
Last Year Return
$9,831.24
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$9,646.44
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
12.8/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 12.5
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,440
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,646.44
Current Value
$9,831.24
Period P&L
$184.80
Max Drawdown
-28.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
24 /
18
Best Trade
+5.81%
Worst Trade
-7.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$136,658.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$184.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$184.80
Gross Return
+1.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.92%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,646.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 9, 2025 11:00am ET | $35.59 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 11:05am ET | $35.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,749.09 |
+$102.65 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 9:45am ET | $37.29 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 10:55am ET | $36.49 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,539.56 |
$-209.53 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.05 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $33.10 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,273.56 |
$-266.00 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.01 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $40.55 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,398.30 |
+$124.74 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $43.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 10:25am ET | $43.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,507.77 |
+$109.47 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 10:35am ET | $44.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 11:20am ET | $44.94 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,610.01 |
+$102.24 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $43.43 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 8, 2025 10:15am ET | $43.87 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,707.25 |
+$97.24 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 9:40am ET | $46.88 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 10:50am ET | $45.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,500.25 |
$-207.00 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 10:25am ET | $46.43 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 10:25am ET | $45.95 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,402.33 |
$-97.92 (-1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $43.51 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 9:40am ET | $44.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,509.25 |
+$106.92 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 10:05am ET | $42.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 12:00pm ET | $43.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,604.71 |
+$95.46 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 9:35am ET | $41.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 9:50am ET | $42.16 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,724.29 |
+$119.58 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 9:55am ET | $39.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,490.73 |
$-233.56 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 10:40am ET | $36.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 2:05pm ET | $35.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,297.75 |
$-192.98 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $33.81 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 11:30am ET | $33.05 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,090.07 |
$-207.68 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 9:45am ET | $33.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $33.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,906.65 |
$-183.42 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 10:20am ET | $33.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 12:05pm ET | $33.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,706.77 |
$-199.88 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.27 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:35am ET | $32.66 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,812.11 |
+$105.34 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $31.98 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 12:00pm ET | $31.33 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,633.36 |
$-178.75 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $29.53 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 11:20am ET | $28.93 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,459.62 |
$-173.74 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.95 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $27.23 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,547.29 |
+$87.67 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:45am ET | $30.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 9:55am ET | $30.42 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,646.69 |
+$99.40 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $30.78 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 10:30am ET | $30.06 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,445.09 |
$-201.60 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 9:45am ET | $34.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 10:45am ET | $35.10 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,530.14 |
+$85.05 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.13 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 3:30pm ET | $34.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,617.29 |
+$87.15 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 12:55pm ET | $35.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,704.09 |
+$86.80 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.53 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $34.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,793.55 |
+$89.46 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $34.01 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $33.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,610.34 |
$-183.21 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.82 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $32.75 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,862.92 |
+$252.58 (+2.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $28.72 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 11:50am ET | $28.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,667.34 |
$-195.58 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $26.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:25pm ET | $26.33 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,482.19 |
$-185.15 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $26.01 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,296.16 |
$-186.03 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $26.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $26.44 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,325.99 |
+$29.83 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.49 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $21.70 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,409.20 |
+$83.21 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $25.15 | 334 | $8,398.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:50am ET | $26.45 | 334 | $8,834.30 | $8,845.07 |
+$435.87 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 12:35pm ET | $26.05 | 339 | $8,830.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:50am ET | $24.05 | 339 | $8,151.26 | $8,165.38 |
$-679.69 (-7.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $23.45 | 348 | $8,160.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 1:20pm ET | $21.80 | 348 | $7,584.66 | $7,589.44 |
$-575.94 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.09 | 359 | $7,573.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $22.32 | 359 | $8,012.88 | $8,029.22 |
+$439.78 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $22.01 | 364 | $8,013.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 3:50pm ET | $23.17 | 364 | $8,432.06 | $8,447.82 |
+$418.60 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:05pm ET | $22.92 | 368 | $8,434.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.11 | 368 | $8,872.48 | $8,885.74 |
+$437.92 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.58 | 393 | $8,873.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 12:25pm ET | $23.77 | 393 | $9,343.57 | $9,355.37 |
+$469.63 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.05 | 405 | $9,333.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.22 | 405 | $9,809.10 | $9,831.24 |
+$475.87 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,831.24
Net Profit/Loss:
$-168.76
Total Return:
-1.69%